Friday, February 13, 2009

Computer Models Worthless...

As I pointed out in my last blog, computer guidance has difficulty handling southern stream energy. In fact, watching all the morning weather programs showing various computer models and what they forecast...none of them had this morning's rain/T-storms over Baton Rouge in the right place. Soooo, why would you trust what the models are predicting (widespread rainfall) when they don't verify initially? As I said last night, there is 100% chance for rain today, BUT most of that would be to our north and east. Translation, unless something develops during daytime heating (possible), the kick off of Family Gras in Jefferson & most of tonight's parades should be OK. I have not changed my thinking regarding this weekend. A cool front will stagger thru Saturday morning with some showers, but by midday we should turn drier. That front will stall along the coast and bring back a shower threat for Sunday. Hopefully most of the rain stays south of the city and offshore as that front will pull away to our east for Monday. Is it gonna be a perfect weekend like last weekend? Nope, but then I don't see it raining all the time either.

2 comments:

Bourbon St. Blues said...

I got my fingers crossed Bob...looking at radar it seems only hit and miss showers over our area now...hopefully that trend will continue and the rain will come over the sleeping hours.

Afterall we are now in the Playoffs...its time to breakout the playbook and talk strategy.

ONLYREAL said...

I am worried about storms training tonight and tomorow.