Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Still Waiting For Harvey...

On this 42nd anniversary of Hurricane Camille making landfall along the LA/MS Gulf coast, we have no named storm to track. However, there are 2 well defined circulations that easily could become our next named storm during the next 1-2 days. The better opportunity appears to be the system racing thru the Central Caribbean. It will head into Central America and not be a threat to us. Computer models continue to bring the other system towards the East coast of the U.S. by late next week. Right now this systems should stay out of the Gulf and go east of Florida. Way too soon to know who will be threatened. Stay tuned!

In the short term, our concern will be the excessive heat. The upper ridge that has been baking Texas (103 in Houston, 109 ! in SHV) is expected to shift eastward over us. That will limit any showers and allow temperatures to climb near 100 here. Heat advisories or warnings are possible. Stay hydrated if you are working or exercising outdoors.

11 comments:

nicolew said...

Will that ridge protect us as long as it holds? I'd rather bake than evacuate.

Anonymous said...

WELL I THINK HARVEY COULD BE ANY DAY NOW I WAS ON WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV AND THERE IS A 60% CHANCE FOR HARVEY TO BE NEXT.

Nashette said...

Bob,
The tropical wave way out in the Atlantic has some models showing a major hurricane off the Florida east coast by next Thursday... Isn't it a bit too early to predict, even with the steering currents, etc.?

Anonymous said...

THIS MORNING I WENT TO WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV AND NOW WE HAVE AN 80% FOR HARVEY.

Anonymous said...

Those 97L Tracks will move further west, just like all the others have so far. We must keep an eye on this one. That ridge will be long gone when or if 97 is approaching the gulf.everyone should be prepaired, most of us have been threw this before,we no what to do. RUN LIKE HELL

Anonymous said...

Harvey is the least of our concern, look at whats coming,bob said the models bring it up the east coast,thats not the whole truth,several models bring it straight into la.

Anonymous said...

Yes the 12z Euro model is pushing it right into Louisiana as a major cane.
GFS has it into Tampa but wait til the 18z runs come out, to see how close it is to the Euro.

I hope our storm defenses are strong.

Chris said...

The models will change run to run. It is almost crazy to get everybody scared before anything has happened yet. People should be prepared but this overarching feeling that every wave is the next Camille, Katrina, and Ivan is extremely self defeating.

I know people enjoy scaring other people. I can't believe how many expert weatherman and post on Bob Breck's site.

Kingd said...

Show your names when you comment,anonymous is getting old.

Anonymous said...

Lots of wanna-be scientists out there with a perverse desire to see New Orleans get struck again. Won't they be disappointed this year.....

GSaldiveri said...

Chris, I agree. You have to wait till it gets to be a storm at least. Most of the time the models don't even work till there is a well defined center oc circulation.

Like Bob always says, make us the bulls-eye right off the bat, the storm never goes there!