Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Rainy Spell to Continue...

FOX 8 has received rain each of the past 6 days keeping highs below 90 Four out of those 6 days.  An old surface frontal boundary coupled with a stalled upper trough should keep clouds and rain chances above normal(60-70%+) for the next 203 days.  Sometime over the weekend the Bermuda High will build back westward lowering rain chances (20-30%) and increasing high temps back into the 90s.

The tropics in the Atlantic are dead for now as Saharan Dust, Unfavorable(sinking air) MJO and wind shear make for a hostile environment.  If anything were to form, it would be off the Carolina coast, otherwise all the action is in the Pacific.  Hurricane Emilia remains a Cat. 3 tonight while it appears Fabio is trying to form right behind her.  I would love for this pattern (active East Pac, quiet Atl. Basin) to last into October when cold fronts start coming again.  Stay tuned!

3 comments:

Mike P. said...

203 days? This is humor, I hope...

Dorties said...

A distinct area of low pressure in the lower levels of the atmosphere, with a weak surface reflection, as well, was noted near Tampa, FL, Thursday afternoon. This was a really neat feature to watch develop on visible satellite imagery during the day. There is a fairly potent spin to the atmosphere, with the disturbance set to emerge into the Gulf Thursday night. While we're not expecting any tropical development, I certainly take note when such a disturbance moves over the warm Gulf waters this time of year. The movement over the next couple days will be to the west-northwest, which will carry some deep moisture towards Louisiana on Saturday. Some models show this low over St. Mary Parish by Saturday evening, so we could see some heavy downpours from Lafayette, to Baton Rouge, to New Orleans that day. We'll keep monitoring this disturbance and keep you posted on the weekend forecast. -David Paul, Chief Meteorologist

informant said...

I am fluent in typonese...he meant 2 or 3 days....