Sunday, August 5, 2012
As I mentioned days ago, Ernesto would struggle due to the extremely dry environment ahead of the storm. NHC believed that with little wind shear & higher oceanic heat content, Ernesto would become a hurricane. Not anymore. Their latest update now keeps Ernesto a TS and moves him westward just off the coast of central America . He might reform over the extreme SW Gulf, but We should not see any effects from Ernesto. That swirl of clouds east of Florida has moved inland and is now over southern Georgia heading westward. We will see our shower chances go up as this system, combined with a deepening east coast trough should mean we're in for a couple of rainy days. After a very wet July, August is continuing that trend as we could easily pick up 3-5"+ during the next several days. TS Florence appears to be a system that will also struggle with the dry air environment. What's left of it could approach the east coast next weekend but it will stay east of Florida & not get into the Gulf.
Posted by Bob Breck at 1:05 PM