Friday, August 24, 2012

Isaac's Track Shifts Back East...

As I have said all along, Sunday will be our "pay attention" day on whether Isaac will ever be our problem.  The main Hurricane models (ECMWF & GFS) were far apart yesterday but are much closer in agreement today keeping the center of Isaac well to our east.  That's important as the west side of the storm is the weaker, drier side with little, if any, storm surge.   The official NHC track takes Isaac near Panama City which would result in keeping any impacts far to our east.  Our VIPIR model is a little farther west of NHC (Pensacola) but not much.  Are we out of the woods yet?  Absolutely not!  Isaac won't be in the Gulf until Monday.  There is ample time to change course, however, my experience tells me...once NHC reverses the track, they will stay locked in on that trend.  One positive... Isaac appears to be getting better organized and stronger which means he should respond to the upper trough and make the turn to the north.    This will be a weekend of getting your supplies up to date and being ready to act early next week (Monday or Tuesday)if Isaac changes direction.  I will continue to update my blog and my return on-air will be Sunday night if need be.  Until then, enjoy your weekend and keep up on the storm. Stay tuned!

4 comments:

Shirley Busby said...

Thank you so very much Bob, we, my family live in MC, berwick, and Bayou vista LA. We no longer get your channel and we so counted on you and your head on reportings during Hurricane Season. I just found you website and felt like a kid who had lost her security blanket and then found it!! Thank you so much agaia, God bless you and yours, SJ Busby and family

Mike P. said...

Has anyone seen Jeff "we're having a heatwave" Masters' Saturday blog entry? Talk about hype! He listed some of history's worst storms that followed a similar path to Isaac. I don't need that kind of shot to my anxiety level!

Shanz said...

Bob, I am aware that west of the storm is the "dry side." With Isaac being large in size, will New Orleans and surrounding areas see inclement weather if it hits just slightly east of us. Basically how far of eastern landfall will keep us safe from any severe weather?

Shirley Busby said...

Good morning everyone. The best we can do, is prepare and gather the supplies we'll need should we, be without, lights or can't drink our water. As my new saying goes, "Plan for the worse, pray for the best." My family live in and around, Morgan City and we have had rain for the past week and then some! Thanks Bob,for always being on top of these Hurricanes! God bless you and your. SJ Busby