Wednesday, September 5, 2012

Plane Will Find Nadine?

The Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate an area of low pressure that has moved south of the mouth of the Mississippi tonight.  My guess is they'll find a circulation and TD # 14 will be born.  Most models just kinda sit the system around over the central Gulf & I expect over time Nadine will be named.  Fortunately, right now it appears a cold front will arrive by midday on Saturday taking Nadine or whatever is there off to our east towards Florida.   We may get some rain and gusty winds during the day on Friday into Saturday, but it won't be another Isaac.   Then again, one always worry when a closed circulation sits over the warm waters of the Gulf as the peak of the Hurricane season approaches.(Sept. 10th)  Stay tuned!

In the short term, we'll stay hot and mostly dry with temps 90+ until a front arrives on Saturday.  Current timing would get the rain out of BTR long before the LSU game starts Saturday evening and Saint's tail-gaiting weather looks sunny, warm & less humid.   March ON !

5 comments:

HundredOaks said...

By the way I've noticed that the NWS report on Isaac showed no reporting station on land having experienced any hurricane force sustained winds and the highest sustained winds of any station on the list at Lakefront Airport of 60 miles an hour.

AlbanySnowMaker said...

about to head to bed and I'm seeing more rotation to the SE of the mouth of the river and I'm noticing the sheer has appeared to have gotten less.... and on top of that 90L has already gone a little farther west than most models would say it would go this early... i kinda think the next model runs either 2am or 8am may show a shift a little further west possibly scraping the worst hit areas of Isaac: Grand Isle and Plaquemines Parish... doesnt look real good right now (in my opinion of course lol)

Bob Breck said...

Oh HundredOaks, what you failed to say is, at the bottom of the NWS report ..."Data from BVE...incomplete due to equipment failures". BVE was nearest the eye wall. There were many failures of buoys along the coast. If NEW had sustained at 60 mph, what do you think BVE might have reached? 80 +?

HundredOaks said...

Given that the report from Grand Isle was not quite hurricane force max sustained winds, for its part, if I had to make a bet I would bet that Boothville, if there not been an equipment failure, might have reported 70 mph sustained winds but not 80 mph.

HundredOaks said...

My bet is tbat Boothville probably experienced max sustained winds of close to 70 mph, but not 80 mph, and that is what they would have reported if the equipment had not failed, and my reason is that Grand Isle did not report max sustained winds higher than 70 mph. The 80 mph winds was a little bit of hype, however the flooding in Laplace and the cause of it should still be thoroughly investigated as well as what Entergy failed to do and/or did wrong. Most especially it's hard to grasp Entergy's claims that this storm was a very special situation as their excuse for a slow performance restoring power when the winds, even though the storm was a slow-moving one, were not higher for most of the metro area than areound 60 mph. They were also claiming that the strong winds lasted for 54 hours and I don't agree with that. Around 40 hours, sure, but not more than 50.