Monday, November 26, 2012

1st Rain in 2 Weeks...

Most of us saw our 1st rainfall since Nov. 12th with some amounts around .50", however, the majority of weather observers received less than .25".  More storms are possible along a cold front that will arrive just in time for morning drive.  This front is not as cold as the last one and we'll see a warm up beginning by Thursday PM that will last thru the weekend.  Once into next week we'll see colder fronts coming that will make us feel more Winter-like.

Have you noticed how many local channels are now using "hour by hour" forecast?  When I was in Atlanta several channels were using that phrase, ditto for Tampa 2 weeks ago.   Could it be consultants telling the local weather folks what to do?   They even break down the rain percentages down to 60% at 6 AM, 40% at noon and 30% at 3 PM.    Since FOX 8 did a story (with Nicondra Norwood) several years ago showing even the local NWS office had different ideas on..." what does 40% chance of rain mean?"  I don't use probabilities much.  Do you?    Before you answer,  rain probability is a POINT forecast.   Think about that for a minute.   If you stay at home all day, fine.  But once you leave the house and start driving around, your chances increase.  Now what do you think 40% chance of rain mean?   I know 10% means I can never be wrong!

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