When you consider we have entered, historically, the hottest part of the Summer, yet we find dewpoints dropping into the 50s & 60s with north winds, you want to ask...'what's going on? September in late July?" The pattern that started last Winter (upper east coast troughs) and has persisted through most of this Summer continues to bring cool fronts down into the Gulf. IF this pattern lasts another 6-8 weeks, any strong tropical disturbance should be turned well east of Louisiana protecting us from any major damages. However, we all know there are breaks in large scale patterns that could let a system sneak our way. But RIGHT NOW I feeling confident that the major threat this season should stay over Florida and up the East Coast. The well defined circulation out in the Atlantic last night is still there tonight, but it has no T-Storms around it. NHC has scheduled a plane out to investigate it on Thursday and they still give it an 80% chance to develop into Bertha. Models still indicate a track east and north of Puerto Rico & well east of Florida. There is another swirl off of Africa following behind this first system & we are nearing August so expect to see a ramp up in activity during the next few weeks.
Locally, we are enjoying early September temps as record cold morning lows are predicted from the Great Lakes down into the Deep South. Our fling will be brief as reality returns by Thursday PM. Stay tuned!
No comments:
Post a Comment