Thursday, August 18, 2016

Beware the Lull...

While the 6th name storm is churning way out in the Atlantic and it appears there will be no threats into the Caribbean & Gulf for the rest of August, several computer models are hinting at a ramping up in activity beyond 10 days.  RIGHT NOW, models bring several systems up the east coast that could threaten the Carolinas & states farther to the north.   Remember I mentioned the high heat content of Gulf & Caribbean waters?  The same holds true along the eastern seaboard.   So while things are quiet around us for now, we know that can quickly change. 

 

One thing we learned from Katrina is after a flood, things change very slowly.  At first people quickly pile up the wet carpets & appliances out in the streets.   The process of rebuilding then will take weeks & months.  As I said days ago, I hope people build better & stronger & higher so when the next flood comes (and it will) the damage will be far less.   I just fear a tropical system coming during the next 4-6 weeks hitting flooded areas again.  Baton Rouge’s monthly rainfall total is 25.92” with still 10 + days to go.   That easily exceeds their previous August record by 11” !   Hopefully the rest of this month will see a drying trend.    Stay tuned!

3 comments:

AlbanySnowMaker said...

ok Bob... your thoughts on 99L? Euro showing a gulf hurricane now... what's your gut saying on this one?!?!

Kim R said...

Yes, I am anxious to hear what you think about this. You are the voice of reason, and the only voice I trust when it comes to storms!

TiffanyS1984 said...

Okay, so should we be preparing for the worst but praying for the best? Do we need to worry about this?