Saturday, July 22, 2017

Active Pacific Connection...

Was reading an article by Tom Downs on WeatherBell Analytics this morning referring to Dr. Phil Klotzbach (Dr. Gray’s  successor) of CSU indicating some connection to an active EPAC and a quiet Atlantic basin.    It appears as long as the EPAC stays active,  our part of the World remains inactive.   Obviously we are just approaching the heart of hurricane season and there is plenty of time for things to change, but I’ll be watching for several things during the next 10-12 weeks that will indicate whether we’ll need to worry.  #1 of course will be the phase of the MJO, #2 will be the position of the TUTT (Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough) as that hinders tropical development, and # 3 the intensity of the Saharan dust layer (SAL) as that hinders development over the MDR.  Lots can happen during the next 2 ½ months but for right now, none of the models are showing development for the next 10-14 days.  Stay tuned!


Locally, as an upper low moves to our west, I expect an active afternoon for storms that will bring some cooling relief to our summer heat.


I’ve been very fortunate during my time in NOLA to have seen live performances from Al Hirt at his club on Bourbon back in the 70s & Pete Fountain at his club at the Hilton in the 80s.  Last night was my second time visiting Snug Harbor to listen to the great Ellis Marsalis and wow, what an evening!  Sitting right above him,  I was amazed by the size of his hands and how effortless his motions (at age 82!) playing the keyboard.  Ronnie Cole is certainly a more flamboyant piano player, but watching Mr. Ellis was certainly a joy that I suggest you sample before he retires.   His wife (Delores) just passed this week so time is not on your side to see one of NOLA’s great musicians.  If you love Jazz, don’t miss this opportunity.

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