Tonight’s water vapor loop shows an upper low spinning over the central Gulf. A tropical wave moving towards the Yucatan has lost almost all of the T-Storm activity it had yesterday. NHC still keeps development probability at 20%, but none of the models are showing that. I suspect we’ll just see a surge of tropical moisture spreading into Texas (where they need the rain) & western Louisiana with very little impact for SE LA/MS. There are some hints that early next week something might try to form along the east coast (Carolinas-FLA) where an old cold front sags down from the north. For us I see little change in the short term with our daily T-Storms bubbling up during daytime heating. Today was great as this morning’s cloud cover restricted T-Storm formation and kept us from being so hot. As is typical of summer, those who received rain saw a lot while others nearby got very little. Without any tropical or upper air disturbances coming our way, I don’t see any major changes during the next 5-7 days.
The remains of Hurricane Bud will move into the desert Southwest during the next several days. Be prepared to see videos of flash flooding over Arizona & New Mexico. Hopefully some of the rains will reach southern Colorado where several major wild fires are burning. Stay tuned!