Thursday, July 5, 2018

Beryl then Chris?

NHC quickly upgraded the swirl of clouds out in the Atlantic ,(see last night’s blog) first to a Depression and then to Tropical Storm Beryl.  These are the kind of named storms we like since they are so far away and have almost zero chance to ever threaten us.   It could be followed later this week by Chris as computer models are showing some development off the east coast of the U.S.   IF that happens, it’s likely to steer off the Carolina coast before heading out to sea.   That would mean 3 named storms down with only 8 to go if you believe the CSU forecast for 11 named storms.    David used a great wind shear graphic on his early programs that shows why Beryl is likely to fall apart as it approaches the islands later this week.  Check him out tonight as I’m sure he’ll use it again.


Today was as basic a summertime day as it gets with showers along the coast and offshore before dawn redeveloping inland during daytime heating.   Motion has been more typical east to west as several upper lows/disturbances rotate around the big upper ridge of high pressure located to our north.  This high is keeping much of the nation seasonally hot (it’s July!) but you’d never know it watching the network newscasts.   They keep calling it “extreme” when in reality it’s near to slightly above normal.   Shower coverage for us will stay in the 50-60% range tomorrow before increasing to 60-80% for Saturday and Sunday as a frontal boundary sags into the Deep South.   Some locations get dumped on ( like Houma 1.25+”) while others get little to nothing.   My house only received .05” in a brief downpour today.    Keep the umbrella handy as these upper disturbances couple with daytime heating can pop up a storm quickly.  They haven’t been lasting long as the brisk easterly upper steering keeps them moving, plus they bring us some brief relief from the heat!   Stay tuned!

No comments: