Kirk Making a Komeback...

NHC says the remains of Kirk still doesn’t have a closed surface circulation, but satellite loops suggests he is becoming better organized tonight.  Very strong wind shear covers the Caribbean, but Kirk could move through the islands as a strong tropical storm before weakening again.  He still is several hundred miles ESE of Barbados.   The system trying to form off the Carolina coast has already encountered westerly wind shear and thankfully should remain well offshore.   The rest of the activity is so far out in the Atlantic that it should never threaten any land areas.  No long range model brings any threats into the Gulf for the next 7-10 days.  However, they also don’t show a real Fall cold front coming during the first 7-10 days of October.  That is one of the reasons that I didn’t book the “Fat Lady” until the second week.  We need those fronts to start coming and for now, they are not.   Reminds me of watching the transition of a teenager to an adult.  It is often slow & awkward and sometimes painful.  That’s the way our transition from Summer to Fall is going.   Today’s high of 91 was painful, coupled with very high humidity,  making for an almost  disgusting feel.   My allergies I’m sure are the result of our high mold spore counts and that won’t change until those fronts bring down the drier air.   It has cooled down up north, but there are no indications that an east coast upper trough will develop until we get well into October.  Stay tuned!