Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Hurricane Forecast? Gotta be Kiddin' Me!

As we all know, the skill level of the folks who predict how many hurricanes will form & where they will hit is minimal. Yet they keep trying to one upmanship each other. Today AccuWeather came out with their forecast 2 weeks ahead of the Dr. Gray update due on April 1st. They(AccuWeather) say the higher chances should be up the east coast (they said that last year too) rather than into the Gulf. But their forecast is worded such that they can't be wrong no matter what happens. Is there any value here? None that I see as we must prepare for the worst as always. All these predictions due is give the insurance industry an excuse to keep the rates high for coastal locations.

Winter officially ends at 6:44 AM on Friday when the Spring Equinox occurs. A weak cold front will arrive early Friday, but the real chill will stay well north & east. There may be a severe weather outbreak some time next week across parts of the central plains & Deep South. Stay tuned.

3 comments:

Kathleen said...

Hey Bob,
Wanted to drop a line to say how much I enjoy your website. Your predictions are usually different than the weather channel. Yours are more accurate. Please keep up the wonderful work. There are many like myself, who appreciate you

ONLYREAL said...

Honestly,
I can't take Joe Bastardi seriously.I was laughing so hard when I was watching their Hurricane forecast on their website.As you said they do not present any skill. He said landfalls will be random? Again I can not take them seriously.

ONLYREAL said...

Did you hear about this??? From Fox news...

Explorers On Global Warming Expedition Stranded in North Pole by Cold Weather

Three global warming researchers stranded in the North Pole by cold weather were holding out hope Wednesday as a fourth plane set off in an attempt deliver them supplies.

The flight took off during a break in bad weather after “brutal” conditions halted three previous attempts to reach the British explorers who said they were nearly out of food, the Agence France-Presse reported.

“We’re hungry, the cold is relentless, our sleeping bags are full of ice,” expedition leader Pen Hadow said in e-mailed statement. “Waiting is almost the worst part of an expedition as we’re in the lap of the weather gods.”

Hadow, Martin Hartley and Ann Daniels began an 85-day hike to the North Pole on February 28 to measure sea ice thickness, the AFP reported.

With bad weather hampering supply flights, the team is was down to half-rations, battling desperate sub-zero temperatures and unable to proceed, the AFP reported.

"It'll be a relief to get our new supplies," Hadow said in a statement Wednesday. "Until (the plane) does arrive, we need to conserve energy and can't really move on."

The expedition now expects to arrive at the North Pole in late May.

Im not saying a thing But I know you are thinking on the same page as me...