Friday, May 15, 2026

High Moves East, Muggies Return, Leaving On A Jet Plane


 

As the center of the surface high pressure drifts to the East Coast, on the backside of it surges warm air & moisture from the Gulf.  Dew points have reached 60+ as far north as Iowa while we near 70.  That can be felt in our air as the muggies are back.  More details in the link in the comments.



It's still chilly over the Great Lakes and Northeast, while it's warmer in Omaha & Kansas City.   



A cold front will slowly push across the central Plains, but it's unlikely to reach us.  The WPC's 7 day rainfall map indicates where the frontal boundary is expected to stall with 4-6"+ amounts back to states west and north of us.


Our rain chances return by Sunday PM but that's due to daytime heating summer-like showers.  Get ready to begin what we know is 4 months of awful heat & humidity.  finally,




I spent Easter weekend with my youngest son (Justin center right) in Bowling Green, Kentucky.  Tomorrow, Valerie and I are off to see my older 2 sons (Rob & Ryan) in Albuquerque, NM.  After celebrating Ryan's 51st birthday on Monday, we're off to explore the sights around Santa Fe where we will do my next podcast next week.  Go to bobbreck.com to sign up.  If you become a subscriber, you can view past podcasts like my views on the upcoming hurricane season.  Stay tuned!






Thursday, May 14, 2026

New Drought Monitor, Weekend Warming Trend, New Podcast

As expected after our recent rains, the new drought monitor has lowered the severity of drought over us.  We went from extreme (level 3) to severe (level 2), which means in the short term (5-7 days) we don't need more rain, but over the longer term (2-3 weeks) we could still use more soakers. We begin with last week's drought monitor on top.


Areas to our east still need a lot more rain over the next few weeks, but locally we're in much better shape.  Today we're in a dry northerly flow, but that will change beginning tomorrow.



The main frontal boundary has pushed south of Florida, while a weak surface front is stalled near us.




You can see the warming (90s) back to our west along with the higher dew points (50s & 60s).  You'll start to feel more summer-like as the humidity rises, especially by Saturday & Sunday. As we approach 90, along with the increase in humidity, I call it "almost hot".



Our next rain chance comes Sunday afternoon with some spotty daytime heating showers. In case you missed it, we released the latest podcast yesterday.


It focused on the upcoming hurricane season.  Go to bobbreck.com to sign up. Stay tuned!