Thursday, May 7, 2026

New Hurricane Outlook Podcast Today, Stalling Front Brings Heavy Rain Potential

 It's taken me a while to do the research in finding graphics that allow me to story tell about the coming 2026 hurricane season.  We released to our subscribers today what I feel is likely to happen this summer and you can watch & hear my opinions by signing up at bobbreck.com. 


In terms of our local weather, we're back stuck with a stalling frontal boundary along the Gulf coast that will see several upper disturbances trigger waves of heavy rainfall off & on into Sunday.  The upper air pattern is locked into a western trough and a west to east flow across the northern Gulf states.



NWS is calling for 1-3" rain totals through Sunday with the higher amounts north of Lake P. The next disturbance is moving into Texas triggering the next wave of rainfall for us later tonight.




Despite last weekend's rainfall, this week's drought monitor is little changed keeping us in level 3 (extreme) with level 4 (exceptional) covering Florida & south Georgia.  The rains the next 2-3 days should really help diminish the drought coverage.




This cold front has no major cooldown with it, but is keeping us below normal/average for early May.



We finally look to clear out early next week with a gradual warming to the mid to upper 80s.  So keep the rain gear handy through Mother's Day or until we can get this frontal boundary to move on out.  Don't forget to sign up for my latest podcast.  Stay tuned!








Wednesday, May 6, 2026

May Snows Bring Colorado Sighs, Weak Front Brings Us Heavy Rain Potential

Freshly fallen snow always looks beautiful, but I'm not sure that's the case today across Colorado's Front Range.  Sure, the pictures are pretty, but we're in the first week of May!  This should be the time of the year for Spring flowers and not winter snow shovels.  We begin with Marian Beauchamp's view in Evergreen at 7,000+ feet.


Marian welcomes the snow since Colorado has seen way below normal/average winter snowfall.  She says the birds are loving it, going crazy around her bird feeder.  Here are pictures from Jeff Hansen and John Lorenz around Boulder.




As I mentioned, it sure looks pretty.  And as Lee Zurik would say, "but there's more!" as this is from Barb Tidd in Salida.



Far less snow totals were reported at Denver and lower elevations, and most of this will be gone once the sun returns for this weekend.  Still, over 2+ feet at Estes Park is impressive and will help them as they head into the summer fire season. While this was going on, we were in the 80s with a severe weather threat just to our north.



A Tornado Watch covers much of central LA/MS until 11 PM.  Most of the severe storms will remain well north of Lake P.




 

The severe threat is expected to weaken and move to our east later tonight as a cold front approaches.  That front is likely to stall near us as it becomes parallel to the upper air flow.



WPC's 5-day rain totals exceed 5+" over most of SE LA/MS.  The key question is, where will the frontal boundary set up?  We'll see several rounds of heavy showers/T-Storms off & on through Sunday, making for a wet Mother's Day weekend.



 

It's noticeably cooler behind the cold front and much drier with dew points down into the 40s at Dallas.  With the slow movement of this front, it will take a long time for us to get into that air mass.


This front finally clears us by early next week, but it looks like the next 4 days will bring us some drought-busting rainfall.  Finally, my next podcast will air shortly.  It deals with this year's hurricane season, and you can view it by going to bobbreck.com and subscribing.  During the hurricane season, my podcast will be once a week and daily once any tropical threat develops.  For the price of a Powerball ticket, it's worth it.  Stay tuned!