Weak Front Coming, Active Pacific, Quiet Atlantic, Next Grief Support Meeting

Recently I started a Grief Support Group here at Copeland Tower. If you have recently lost a loved one and are struggling with coping with life, our next meeting is this Monday, August 3rd at 10:30 AM. It is held on the hotel side in room 825 and is open to residents and non-residents.  Bring a picture of your loved one and come share a special memory with our group.

Copeland Tower is located on Severn Ave. and I-10 in Metairie.  I hope to see you there.  We do have the possibility of a weak cold front reaching us during the day on Sunday.  Typically these fronts lose their upper support and stall or dissipate near us.

It could bring us a few downpours during the day on Sunday with some lower humidity, especially on the North Shore, sagging in for late Sunday into Monday.  Don't look for it to be cooler, just drier.

50s & 60s dew points (drier air) are not that far away. One thing to watch for next week is to see if any spin up forms along the frontal boundary.  No model show that happening right now.  If fact, all of the Atlantic remains quiet.

Even the EPAC has slowed down with Genevieve weakening to a Tropical Storm going way north of Hawaii.

Only the Western Pacific (WPAC) remains active.

Typhoon Dolphin remains a strong Cat. 4 (145 mph) but it is many days from reaching land areas.  IF all the models are correct, the Atlantic basin will stay quiet through the first 10 days of August.  We probably will see a burst of activity late August into September as FOX Weather circled an area of lighter wind shear developing mid month.

In the short term (7-10 days), no activity is expected.  As the heart of the season approaches, now is the time to go sign up for my Hurricane Podcast at bobbreck.com.

The cost is $2/month that give you access to what does Bob think?  It expands on my Facebook post with animated graphics and lengthy storytelling as to the WHYS of the forecast and not just what the models show.  Give it a try.  Longtime subscribers should have received an email that your subscription will automatically renew.  Thanks for your support.  Stay tuned!

 

Pacific Has Major Typhoon, Atlantic Quiet For Now, Weak Front Here

There is a weak cold front that will move into the Gulf South this weekend, increasing our rain chances and bringing some cooling relief.  But since this is mainly a Hurricane Blog, I begin with yet another Major Hurricane way out in the Pacific.  This is Typhoon Dolphin (same as hurricane) with winds of 145 mph, down from 160 mph yesterday.  Fortunately, it is many days from affecting any land areas.

Dolphin is tracking north of Guam and could impact Korea or Japan down the road.  In the EPAC, Fausto has dissipated, with Genevieve downgraded to a tropical storm as she moves over colder waters.  She once was a Cat. 5.

Back in our part of the world, there is a large circulation coming off of Africa, but the Saharan Dust will not allow development.

Several of the AI models are hinting something coming off of Africa in the 10-14 day time frame, but that is too far out to worry about.  IF we have any development in the next week, it would have to come closer in along the many boundaries sinking down from the north.

No model shows anything forming & NHC isn't highlighting anything either.

We might be able to sneak a weak frontal boundary over us for this weekend.  That would make us less hot as clouds and rain chances increase.

One such boundary is very close to us this afternoon.

Without our daily T-Storms, our highs reach the mid to upper 90s.

Let's hope this weak front makes it close to give us some needed rainfall and relief from the brutal heat. Trust my podcast subscribers enjoyed hearing my opinions about the rest of this hurricane season yesterday.  To join us, go to bobbreck.com and sign up.  Stay tuned!