Sunday, August 16, 2009

Claudette making Landfall...

Been waiting for latest NHC advisory since radar loop appears to show Claudette almost stalling or drifting slowly more westward the past few hours. NHC says not so...Claudette continues a NW motion that should take her center very close to Ft. Walton/Destin after midnight and then inland to the Fl/AL border north of Pensacola by daybreak. The local impacts will be none...however, what I will be watching for is any westward motion that brings the circulation closer to us. That would increase our rain chances on Monday.

Now the good news...what remains of Ana is more a tropical wave and will likely not be tracked anymore after tomorrow. It's forward motion is 25-30 mph...way too fast for it to develop. T.S. Bill continues to strengthen, but the new NHC track recurves it even farther to the east of Florida so Bill should not be our problem...unless you believe CAVEMAN.

More good news...the long range models continue to redevelop more east coast troughs that should keep any new storms recurving east of the United States. This is looking more like 1984 when we had a late start but had 12 named storms form...BUT they all recurved before reaching the Gulf. Next blog update during the PM or evening on Monday.

7 comments:

Pompo said...

thanks for the update Bob!

nolachickwrites said...

As always, thank you for keeping us informed, Bob. Caveman won't be satisfied until New Orleans is wiped off of the map, it seems.

Baxter said...

I think we'll be alrite on this season. I'm not a weather guy or anything educated, I just feel it in my gut. Though I do hope Lake Charles pulls together and makes it through this.

applesofgold said...

You are the best Bob! Thanks for keeping us posted about what is really happening out there.

weatherwatcher said...

Glad to see Ana has weakened even more. Hopefully, we have seen the last of her.

Cindy Lovoi said...

Bob,

I am far from a weather expert, but all the weather channels are claiming Claudette went inland by Pensacola. Well, if you look at the satelite loop, it looks like 90% of the rain and clouds are still in the gulf and it seems to be moving slightly west.

Bob Breck said...

Yea Cindy, there remains lots of tropical moisture all along the Coast from LA to Fl. Radar returns have been DECREASING this afternoon off shore and I see no signs of any circulation. Our only concern is the slow motion of any storm allows for 2-3+ inches of rainfall in less than an hour in some spots. That has caused some minor street flooding. Typical August afternoon