Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Could Beryl Be Brewing?

We're still 9  days away from the official start of the 2012 Hurricane Season, but there are hints that Storm # 2 could be trying to form down in the Western Caribbean.  The MJO is currently in a "favorable phase" that encourages rising air so don't be surprised if another storm develops over the next 4-5 days.   I  prefer to have the MJO in this phase now instead of August & September when water temps will be much warmer.  Also, we currently have SST marginally warm enough for tropical development so a major storm is highly unlikely.  Expect to see lots of rain move across Cuba & south Florida for the rest of this week.

An upper high will build over us during the next 3-4 days meaning rain chances will go down and temps up for your holiday weekend. 

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