Monday, June 10, 2013

Tropics Gone To Sleep...

Andrea may have been the 1st named storm of the season and she certainly won't be the last.  However, if you believe it's more than water temperatures that drive tropical development, then Andrea could be the ONLY storm in June.  Why?    I believe the MJO (Madden-Jullian Oscillation) drives tropical development and it has shifted back to unfavorable (sinking motion) for the next 2-3 weeks.  In fact, models keep bringing back East Coast troughs that will keep the unusually cool Spring over the eastern U.S. going into Summer.   East coast troughs typically curve tropical systems away from the mainland BEFORE they hit Florida.  Once a pattern is set up, it can last many months.  Unfortunately, the Hurricane Season lasts for many months more, but let's enjoy the quiet while it lasts.


Locally, it appears our 1st REAL heat wave is coming as an upper ridge will build over us capping any daytime heating showers.  Here's a neat fact.   Temperature comparison for 90+ degree days year to date...
2013 - 2,    2012 - 15,   2011 - 21  !!!   Add Atlanta to the cool cities as they have yet to reach 90.  In an era where almost every day we read about alarmist's future predictions ( NYC is gonna drown), very little is ever said about the REALITY of our atmosphere cooling down.   Then again, that would go against the models that predict warming forever.   Never let facts get in the way of a good story!

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