I’m encouraged by watching satellite loops & computer models that are now down playing any development of low pressure in the southern Gulf moving northward towards Louisiana. VIPIR has always said this system would only be an open wave and that appears to be the case into early next week, What I think is going to happen is 1) the deep trough digging into the NW Gulf will not permit a tropical (warm core) system to develop. There may be a “hybrid” type system (more winter-like) move up the stalled frontal boundary along our coast keeping the heaviest rains offshore and to our east. 2) Drier air will filter in behind the upper trough and should restrict the earlier heavy rain threats. By late Sunday we could see some tropical moisture move in but it doesn’t look to be anything major.
The 44th anniversary of Hurricane Camille is Saturday and we have no Camille-like storm anywhere on the horizon. Enjoy your weekend.
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