Sunday, August 31, 2014

Summer Ends. Fall Begins...Not Really.

Today is the last day of "Meteorological summer", the hottest 3 months of the year.  Obviously, Astronomical Fall doesn't begin until Sept. 21st, but by then we usually start seeing the first REAL cool fronts where we notice a different feel to the air.    Computer models  indicate no such front is likely during the next 12-14 days so it will still feel very much like Summer.   A strange quiet remains WORLDWIDE over the Tropics with Zero activity for the 3rd day in a row.   A weak surface low has formed over the Yucatan Peninsula tonight and could possibly become our next named storms during the day on Monday or Tuesday as it moves back over the southern Gulf.  Whatever forms is expected to stay well south of us with no impacts here.  We still have 4 weeks to monitor the Tropics for "evacuation type" storms.  Once into October, in modern history, we have had only one major Hurricane (1893) cross the Louisiana coastline.   Will our luck hold out for this season?  After all, we still have not seen a tropical system, let alone a hurricane, in the Gulf.   Stay tuned!

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