Tropical Depression Forming?

This afternoon's satellite loops are beginning to show a swirl of clouds, not where NHC is giving a 60% chance for development, but farther back to the NE.   The infrared views indicate a burst of colder cloud tops so we may be seeing a T.D. starting to form?   This system is 250 miles east of Barbados moving to the NW.   Most computer models have flip-flopped on where a future storm may go now turning whatever develops east of Miami and up the east coast.  That would mean we would have no issues in the Gulf.   As I have preached before, until we have a defined center, an initialization point that the models can follow, we should not read too much into the "spaghetti tracks".   The forecast error at 3 days from landfall is nearly 150 miles, over 200 miles at 5 days out.  IF this system came straight to us (HIGHLY UNLIKELY), it still is 7 days away.  Again, let's monitor and hope the threat up  the east coast continues.