Tonight’s water vapor loop shows an upper level low over the west central Gulf south of Lake Charles. At the surface, a tropical wave is interacting with the upper low producing scattered disorganized showers & T-Storms. The buoys over the central and west Gulf have winds 15-25 knots with gusts to 30+. Wave heights range from 4-6’ with some 8’+. All models continue to show movement toward the mid to upper Texas coast with the heaviest rainfall staying from Lake Charles westward into Houston.. The Euro stalls this feature along the lower Texas coast for much of next week resulting in very heavy rain amounts greater than a foot. With the MJO going into the favorable (rising air) phase for next week, we should pay attention to the western Gulf for tropical development. NHC has increased the chances for development of the tropical wave, but they are not yet talking about the wave stalling over the lower Texas coast. For us, We’ll see a repeat of our daily showers with some kicking off before noon. The increased cloud & shower activity keeps highs generally below 90 providing some relief to our summer heat. Next week could see a drying with rain chances reduced to 20-30% compared to today’s 60-70%. That would result in higher temperatures back into the low to mid 90s. Otherwise, it’s pretty basic summertime down South. Stay tuned!
Tomorrow is Father’s Day and I hope those of you who still have Dad around take the time to visit or call him. My Dad left us 17 years ago and I regret living so far from him & Mom (Hammond, Ind.) that I only saw them once or twice a year. I moved to where the job was (NOLA) and that was far from home. Cherish the time you have with your “Pop”. He will not be here forever. Happy Father’s Day gang!
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