Friday, July 6, 2018

A Golf Gullywasher...

Since I’ve really gotten into golf in retirement, one of the main things is to finish the game (18 holes) no matter how badly you might be playing.   Sometimes Mother Nature will not allow that with heavy showers that make playing impossible.   Today was one of those days where parts of Kenner received 2+” of rain (1.32” at MSY) while back at my house in Metairie 7 miles to the east, no rain fell at all.  We played 15 holes before the last 3 were washed out.    It just reminded me of how our daily storms can build up 6-8+ miles in the vertical  while only being several miles wide in the horizontal.  One part of town can get swamped with some brief street flooding while several blocks away hardly any rain falls.   It’s totally different process in Winter where it’s a rain shield that can cover hundreds of miles with cloud tops rarely topping 20-25,000 feet versus Summer where some tops might reach 50,000 feet (10 miles) in individual cells.   Daytime heating is usually the main trigger for our storms, but the next several days we’ll have a weak frontal boundary approaching from the north coupled with another upper air low/disturbance that should really enhance rain coverage but also rain totals.  NWS & SPC in their discussions are talking about the possibility for heavy, slow moving storms causing local street flooding both Saturday & Sunday so pay attention to the weather if you are going to be out and about town.  Be ready to turn around and head for home if storms erupt.


The tropics remain active with Beryl upgraded to a hurricane early today way out in the Atlantic and a new Tropical Depression(#3) just a couple hundred miles east of the Carolina coasts.   Satellite loops of Beryl show little in the way of T-Storms around it with lots of dry air to the north waiting to be drawn into her.  In addition, there is lots of wind shear ahead of Beryl and NHC still believes she’ll begin a weakening process as she reaches the islands Sunday & Monday.     She is a very small system and nowhere near the strength of last Summer’s super hurricanes.   Let’s hope she fizzles as many of the islands are still not back to normal.    TD 3 is expected to become Tropical Storm Chris with very limited motion for the next 2-3 days before tracking away from the U.S. for early next week.   Satellite loops of it find little T-Storm activity, but it won’t take much for NHC to name it Chris soon.    There is yet another low level swirl SE of TD # 3 that so far is not drawing NHC’s attention.  Focus on our local weather the next 2-3 days as we do have a heavy rain potential not connected to any tropical development.  Stay tuned!

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