Last week it was Chateau Country Club that was drenched while my house got nothing. Today my house was dumped on (1.38” in less than an hour) while many others received little. That’s the nature of our Summer storms and why trying to predict them is almost useless. We know every day will be hot & humid and it will rain SOMEWHERE. Sometimes we can see an upper disturbance approaching that will enhance shower coverage or sometimes it’s a surface tropical wave. Usually the storms erupt from daytime heating coupled with land & sea breeze inactions. July, August into early September also see very weak steering currents that result in slow moving storms which is why downpours can dump 1-3” in less than an hour. Whether you’re planning to play golf or tennis or having a wedding outside, this is the time of the year weather can dampen/change/postpone what you want to do. We are not California that has its 6-8 month dry season. Even our “dry” seasons (April & October) are considered wet by most other parts of the country. That’s why I never leave home without it…my umbrella!
Chris remains stationary off the Carolina coasts tonight. He appears to have an eye, but dry air has impinged on the northern side resulting in an asymmetrical (one sided) storm. He may become our next hurricane but his lack of movement has upwelled colder water which should slow development. All models keep him well east of the U.S. Beryl is not buried as it appears she is trying to reorganize over the Mona Passage SW of Puerto Rico. All models turn whatever reforms well east of Florida and not be a threat to the U.S. None of the models indicate development in the Gulf or Caribbean for the next 10-14 days. Stay tuned!