Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Another West Coast Disturbance May Bring Us Thursday Storms...

Many times this Winter season we have seen upper storms plow into California and then head across the Rockies bringing severe weather outbreaks.  The West has been dumped with much needed rain & snow so all is not negative.  However, the upper low out over Oregon is predicted to head on a track farther to the south than past systems.  SPC has already outlined the severe risk area for late Thursday after dark.




Sure the bullseye is farther to our north, but we still are in level 2 risk.  That's still several days out so let's watch it to see if SPC makes any changes.  The other main story is like a broken record, early Spring preview warmth.



Tied another record despite a front getting really close.  Areas just to our north actually got into drier feeling air (lower Dew Points).




Unfortunately, that boundary will retreat northward as the West coast system approaches.  The Arctic air over Canada cannot move southward until the upper trough moves to the east.





Tomorrow begins the first day of Meteorological Spring, but the Southeast has been enjoying the Spring feel for over a week.



We will see a cool down for this weekend, but it's not going to be extreme.  In fact, it will only get us back to our historical averages/normal highs.  With much drier air, it will feel terrific, but it won't last as we warm back up next week.




Finally, the headline in today's paper screamed 'back to back hurricanes likely to occur more often".


I was about to call a realtor to put my house up for sale & move to Colorado, until I read the fine print.  Buried in the article were these nuggets..."There haven't been enough hurricane & tropical storms since 1950...for a statistically SIGNIFICANT trend."  "Studies are split on whether climate change means more or fewer storms".(That's important) But there's more..."Any increase in frequency in sequential storms in the past was likely due to a reduction in traditional air pollution rather than human caused climate change." So I hung up and didn't call a realtor!   It's about power & control  Stay tuned!






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