We Have Invest 94 L, NHC Not Concerned About Gulf Yet

If you remember last week's Invest 93 L, by making it an INVEST number, it allows computer models to run on the best guess where a center might be.  NHC has labeled an area way out in the Atlantic 94L, even though they & models show little chance for development.

The two main reasons that formation will be limited are 1) Caribbean wind shear and 2) Saharan Dust.  You can see the latter on today's daylight views.

For now, forget about the Main Development Region (MDR) but look closer to home.

We have a large upper high over us with several frontal boundaries coming down the East Coast.  An upper low is heading westward across the Bahamas and will enter the eastern Gulf by late Wednesday.  Meteorologist Zack Fradella shows us that on his AM programs.

To me, it appears to be another inverted trough/tropical wave moving over the Gulf, bringing increasing clouds & showers, resulting in less hot temperatures.  Will it challenge fishermen/women Thursday through Saturday at the Grand Isle Tarpon Rodeo, especially offshore?  Perhaps, but as long as there is no development, sea conditions should be manageable.  In fact, a northerly/offshore wind flow ahead of the wave will make the Gulf waters off of Grand Isle slick, perfect for surf fishing.  You can still get in to win the $10,000 Grand Prize by going to tarponrodeo.org.  I'll be there to call out your name on Saturday night.

Weather wise, the heat will continue as the main story tomorrow.  A front has brought welcomed relief north of a cold front.

Dew points in the 40s, 50s & 60s over the Great Lakes & Northeast must feel great?  Not coming here for another 6-8 weeks. It's a rare summer day when we find no storms between us and the Florida beaches.

We do find several heavy Storms south of Lake Pontchartrain, but coverage is maybe 10%.

As I mentioned yesterday, after 2-3 hot, dry days, we will welcome the increase in storms coming with this tropical wave.  NHC is waiting for models to pick up on it.  So far they haven't.  Posting early as I have a 3 PM appointment.  Little fella under great anxiety & stress lately.  Stay tuned!