Gosh, this has been a strange Hurricane season as storm number 12 (Lorenzo) was named this morning. It is way out in the Atlantic and will never affect any land areas, much like all of the storms this year. But modern satellite technology allows us to see things that in the past weren't detected.
Satellite pictures indicate Lorenzo is struggling with no storms around the center, with strong SW upper shear making future development unlikely. The other system that is making land impacts is the no named storm along the East Coast.
Clearly, NHC didn't name the East Coast storm because it's not a warm core with no T-Storms. However, impacts are impacts, and they named Karen last week way out in the Atlantic with very limited T-Storms around her. Just saying, the naming of storms seems to be very subjective and at times, makes little sense. The real question is, why haven't we seen any storms in the Gulf or Caribbean this year? Look at these graphics. the top is the tracks for 1997. That is the last time no storm moved into the Caribbean.
The bottom is even more astounding, showing Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi & Alabama have spent ZERO time in the cone of error/uncertainty while the western states have been in the cone many more days. What's going on? Pure luck? Or is there another climate signal the researchers are missing? It's great news for us as we are out of the time when a major storm could threaten us during the last two weeks of October. No model indicates any storm in the Gulf, and I was going to have the Fat lady sing tonight during my Podcast. However, some personal attorney issues came up, and the podcast will be delayed until tomorrow. We have seen no sign-ups during the past 3 days, so I'm disappointed that many of you are not interested in seeing future guests or winter weather updates. Sign up is only $2/month (7 cents a day) at bobbreck.com. Easily the best bargain in town to see some of the great New Orleans' broadcasters present & past.
Major storms are drenching both coasts with a warm, dry upper ridge over us.
The West Coast rainy season is getting off to an early start with heavy rains spreading southward for tonight. Look for some mudslides as rain totals in spots could be 3-5"
The Gulf & Caribbean remain in a hostile environment, so nothing is expected to form.
With the upper high around, we'll stay warm until a weak cold front sweeps through Friday night into Saturday. Rain chances appear slim, and the cool down will be very limited. No need for sweaters or jackets yet. Podcast tomorrow night. Stay tuned!
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