Computer guidance is still bringing upper energy into Louisiana late Wednesday into early Thursday as a cold front will bring relief from the spring warmth and muggies. Today, the greatest severe risk is far to our north and west. SPC lowers the risk level for Wednesday & Thursday, but level 2 is brushing parts of the North Shore. Today's risk is on top.
My thinking is SPC will increase the risk levels tomorrow. Here's where the upper low is right now.
There is another upper trough entering the northern states that will serve as the "kicker" for the southern system. This afternoon, T-Storms are just starting to pop over Texas.
The first of many tornado watches covers west central Texas. As the cold front pushes into the warm, moist air mass, storms should start to fire off.
As you can see, there is a large temperature change behind the cold front. Also note, 60+ dew points have surged northward into Missouri & Illinois. That's where SPC has just issued a new tornado watch.
We have no issues with the weather here today. Computers bring a squall line through us well after dark and near midnight when most of us will be sleeping. That threat is TOMORROW night.
It will be cooler behind this front, but Monday's cold front will be much colder. We are not done with sweater & jacket weather. Stay tuned!
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