Colorado State University released their 2026 Hurricane Season outlook, and at first glance, one would feel relief that this coming storm season might be another quiet one in the Gulf. However, not everyone is on board with that forecast as the University of Arizona's outlook calls for an above-normal season once again. Here are the numbers beginning with the CSU forecast.
For you weather geeks, you can go to the CSU website and see these number plus all their reasoning why they believe this year will be less active than the past 30-year average. They do indicate that the probabilities for a Gulf storm are down to 20% compared to the long-term average of 27%. I did come across a contradictory report from the University of Arizona.
Note, while CSU is calling for a total of 13 named storms, 6 becoming hurricanes. The UA outlook calls for 20 named storms with 9 becoming hurricanes. Geez, that's quite a difference!!!
One reason CSU is favoring fewer storms is the expected Saharan Dust layer (SAL) pouring off of Africa into the Atlantic. They also state a strong El Niño will develop, possibly becoming a "Super El Niño" that will cause extreme wind shear. Whatever, I will be doing a podcast regarding my feelings in the next few days. If you want to watch & hear my thoughts, go to bobbreck.com and subscribe for $2/month. The number of podcasts will increase as we get deeper into Hurricane Season. So if you want more than just the National Hurricane Center's thoughts & graphics (which you can get online or on every local station), go become a subscriber to my podcast. It's easy to do and we have more than just weather. The next podcast is showing my Grandson (Ethan) how to fish. For your local forecast, watch FOX 8 at 4& 5 PM. Stay tuned!
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