Saturday, June 27, 2026

Tropics Waking Up? Eastern Heat Wave, Goodbye Biltmore

My vacation to the Biltmore in Asheville was everything I expected, and more.  It's a beautiful, awesome location in the mountains outside Asheville, and the Vanderbilt family has preserved an incredible look into the lives of the Rich & Famous.  The Biltmore House is the largest in our nation, totaling 175,000+ sq. ft. with over 250 rooms & 65 bathrooms, along with living quarters for the staff/servants that served the family.



As beautiful Biltmore is during the day, the nighttime views are stunning!  I will do a podcast on the Biltmore House in next week's podcast.  However, I may have to include some tropical weather too since NHC began highlighting area off the Carolinas for next week.



If you want to see one of the wonders of America and hear my comments about tropical development, you'll need to sign up for my podcast at bobbreck.com.  Why wait for our next tropical threat? Go sign up and see what you've been missing this past year.  My podcast expands on my Facebook posts and the cost is only $2/month.  If you look at the current satellite views, you would wonder what NHC is looking at.



At the moment there is nothing there with an upper high centered over the Gulf.  that high is predicted to move northward and expand over the eastern states this weekend.  That frontal boundary (black dash lines) is projected to drop down the east coast with the possibility of a weak surface low forming drifting into the Carolinas. Here's the WPC's forecast maps beginning with next Monday followed by Tuesday Wednesday & Thursday.





As you can see, they have a weak low early on, but they don't develop it.  So why is NHC interested/concerned?  Mainly because the Google Deep Mind AI model hints at something.  With the MJO is the unfavorable (sinking air) phase, I find it hard to believe something will form.  Locally, it's about heat & spotty storms. there is NOTHING right now in the Tropical Atlantic basin.




The front to our north will never get close and the heat over Texas will expand to cover most of the eastern states next weekend.






Not many storms popped up, but they were concentrated on the South Shore.  They helped give some relief from the heat.

 

So in the short term, the next several days will be hot, humid and mostly dry.  As we head towards July, I don't see any tropical threats here as the MJO and upper wind shear should keep things quiet.  Regardless, I will have a new podcast for subscribers early next week.  Come join the party.  Stay tuned!

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