Super Typhoon Brushing Guam, Pop Up Storms Here, Tropics Remain Dead.

 The biggest news on the Planet is super Typhoon Bavi, whose winds have increased to 180 MPH.  He has classic satellite structure of a Category 5 Hurricane.  Fortunately, it appears he will only brush Guam, but there are other Mariana Islands that won't be so lucky.

This is the only active named system in the World as the EPAC and Atlantic Basins are shut down.

It's not surprising that the Atlantic Basin is quiet in this El Nino summer.  That was expected.  But the lack of activity in the EPAC region was not anticipated.  Unless something changes in the Atlantic Basin, we could see us go zero for July in terms of named storms.  That would be nice since the Grand Isle Tarpon Rodeo is less than 3 weeks away.

I will be calling someone's name as the winner of the $10,000 grand prize and all you have to do is purchase a registration packet ($50) to enter.  You don't have to fish or even come down to Grand Isle to win.  Just go to tarponrodeo.org and sign up.  After last week's Heat dome is gone, our daily T-Storms are back.

The North Shore is getting hammered while a few storms have perked up south of Lake P.  Since they are slow movers, some neighborhoods are getting 1-2" of rainfall.  Expected more of the same for the next several days.

Finally, those of you who are subscribers to my podcast will be getting renewal notices. Hopefully, most of you believe the $2/month is worth it.

When our next tropical threat comes, I'll be doing daily, perhaps multiple podcasts in an effort to give you enough information, and my opinions based on 50 years of experience, so you can make the correct decision to stay or leave.  Go to bobbreck.com and join us.  I'll probably will be fishing Monday & Tuesday so my next post might not be until Wednesday.  Stay tuned!

Super Typhoon Threatens Guam, Happy B-Day America, Grief Support Monday

 We are seeing a huge uptick in Tropical Activity over the Western Pacific (WPAC) where Tropical Storm Maysak (60 mph) brushes Hanoi and Super Typhoon (160 mph) Bavi nears Guam.  With peak winds of 160 mph, Bavi is a Cat. 5 Typhoon that will cross the Mariana Islands tonight.  Guam will be on the weaker side of Bavi, but they still will be impacted by it.

This uptick in activity is expected in an El Nino year across the western Pacific.  I would also expect activity to increase over the Eastern Pacific (EPAC) in the coming weeks, but so far, it's quiet.  We all have been told this will/should be a below average/normal season for the Eastern Atlantic Basin and that remains the case.

Strong westerly upper shear coupled with Saharan Dust is keeping everything in check despite there being several small low level swirls off the east coast.

We would love to see the Gulf this quiet come August & September.  As the Beach Boys song says...Wouldn't it be nice!  A couple of storms are firing off during daytime heating today.

From NOLA eastward to the beaches, it's a hot & dry 4th.  But from NOLA westward, there are some big slow moving storms.  NWS indicates our rain chances will go up for Sunday into Tuesday as the upper high over the East coast weakens.  It's a basic summertime forecast into next week.

As a reminder, I will be hosting a Grief Support Coffee at Copeland Tower this Monday at 10 AM.  If you recently lost a loved one and are struggling to cope, come see us and share as we all walk in the same shoes.  There is no charge and non-residents are welcomed.  Enter on the Hotel entrance side and come up to room 825.

Copeland Tower is a wonderful home for me and a number of us residents watched a terrific sunset followed by fireworks from Uncle Sam Jam.

With things so quiet in the Tropics around us, I might try fishing with Captain Hylton Monday afternoon & Tuesday.  Stay tuned!