Storm Timing Near Perfect, Almost Hot This Week, Another Front Next Weekend

 As with French Quarter Fest last weekend, our rainfall timing (coming over night/early AM) has been near perfect leaving behind some great weather for all outside activities.  The cluster that roared through shortly after daybreak has pushed into the Gulf and weakened.

Just like yesterday, today has been sunny, breezy & warm. The upper trough remains over the Rockies 

and will keep the main storm track well to our north for the next few days.

SPC's thinking keeps the severe threat well to our north for Monday (Top) and Tuesday (Bottom).

The next 2-3 days should have no weather issues as no fronts will be around.  In fact, the local NWS is pushing near record warmth with maybe our 1st 90 degree day.  Of course, all local weathercasters follow suit, but I just don't see the upper high settling over us.  We'll be warm, but I believe 90+ is not going to happen yet.  We'll see.

There is another front coming through for Friday, but I think the FOX 8 temps might be a bit too cool, unless we have lingering clouds.  Still, we'll take any fronts before the real heat arrives in 2-3 weeks.  Stay tuned!

Models Nailed Timing, Perfect for JazzFest & Golf Classic

I got back to Copeland Tower just in time to watch the late 10 PM news last night, and the models pretty much nailed the timing.  Perhaps the intensity of our early storms surprised some, but the storm reports were very few.  That complex was fueled by an upper disturbance that has quickly diminished, leaving mostly dry weather for JazzFest & the Zurich Classic golf tourney.

SPC & NWS is expecting another round to form overnight, and I'm seeing a similar timing to today's storms.  That will be good news as 1) we need more rain and 2) the festivities should not be affected. So far, the T-storm action to our northwest is developing farther to the north.

Even though not much has formed to our NW so far, SPC's severe outlooks indicate they expect more development over the next several days.  We begin with today's severe outlook, followed by Sunday & Monday.

Clearly, the greatest severe threats are farther to our north. We have no fronts coming, so any storm complex overnight will be strictly from an upper disturbance.

You can see how warm temperatures have gotten under the upper ridge over Texas.  Some of that warmth is coming our way for early next week.

 

We could even flirt with our first 90+ day on Tuesday & Wednesday.  That's way too soon!  Finally,

We have all seen the drought monitor that has many areas over the Southeast in extreme to exceptional drought.  That is resulting in a number of wild fires that I captured on Satellite views.

The worst fires have been in southern Georgia & norther Florida.  Bottom line, we need our rainy season to kick in before the gawd awful heat of summer arrives. Enjoy your Sunday.