NHC Gotta Have Kyle, New Podcast, Cooling Trend Into Weekend.

I've been watching a very weak cool front staggering through south LA/MS bringing some brief showers with it.  Skies are clearing and drier (good feel) air is filtering in.  The real chilly air will stay well to our north as the upper disturbances continue to stay well to our north.   The second upper disturbance over the Rockies will swing along the bottom of the first system over the Plains bringing us a re-enforcing shot of colder air this weekend.

 Our current upper flow is from the Pacific meaning the next 2-3 days will continue to be pleasantly mild to warm during the day.

Dew points to our west are in the 40s & 50s and that will allow nighttime lows to drop into the 50s.  The real cold is still 7-10 days away.

 

With the main energy far to our north, the heaviest rains are now into Alabama & Georgia.  There was a comment over the weekend regarding a person who still though the super heavy downpours were due to "Chemtrails", government spraying  that creates bad weather.  Well, think of this today.

What you saw BEHIND the cold front were "condensation trails" from jet aircraft.  IF the government were spraying, they would spray in front of a front, not behind it.  It's from the same folks that say Global Warming is a hoax.  Our current Global Warming CYCLE is very real.

The drier air behind this first front will allow North Shore Temps to dip into the 50s with some 40s coming over the weekend.  Sweater weather is here!  Finally,

NHC now has chances for development up to 50%.  The will call it "sub-tropical" but will eventually give it the name of Kyle.  That'll make 11 named storms allowing all the preseason forecasters to claim they were right.  We all know many of those storms were "nothing-burgers" and the ACE totals back us up.  My podcast this week will talk about the quiet Atlantic season and re-focus on why this coming Winter will be an active one for the West Coast, Rockies and all across the deep South.  To view it, you need to subscribe at bobbreck.com.  Stay tuned!

NHC Increases Chances for Kyle, Wednesday Front Fizzles Here

We are in the tail end of this 2026 Hurricane season with the threat for tropical systems now limited to the southern Gulf into the Caribbean and generally east of the Bahamas. Satellite views indicate clusters of unorganized T-Storms, but computer models keep hinting something will form late this week in an area NHC is highlighting.

We still have significant SW upper flow that should hinder any rapid development.  However, NHC now is giving this area a 40% chance for forming Kyle.  It will be another "fish storm" and should quickly move into the central Atlantic.  For us we have an approaching cold front with strong T-Storms that should weaken as its upper support pulls well to our north.

A stronger low is coming into California and that should bring us a stronger cold front for Sunday & Monday.

There is very little cooler air behind this front, but it should bring some drier air/lower dew points for Thursday into Friday.

With the upper energy pulling away to our West & North, this line of strong storms will lose its upper support allowing it to weaken before reaching us.  The next system on Sunday may be a little stronger.

The real cold air is building up over Alaska & Canada and it's only a matter of time before it plunges down into the lower 48.

Single digits to low teens are showing up and some of that chill will reach us before Thanksgiving.  My podcast on Thursday will focus on the change of seasons and when is winter finally showing up?  To watch the podcast, go to bobbreck.com and sign up.  Stay tuned!