No Labor Day Tropical Activity, Heat Dome Remains

 Since 1950, in 9 out of 10 years there has always been some kind of tropical system (storm/hurricane) to follow.  Only on 97-98 and 24-25  have there been 2 years in a row with zero tropical activity.  Well now we have a new record. This marks three straight Labor Days without any tropical system to follow.  That hasn't happened during modern times.

We went through a crazy CYCLE of super activity from 2017 to 2023 and now have gone the other way.

The climate alarmists want you to believe this up & down activity is caused by man made climate change,  Past geological History tells me they are called CYCLES.  Look at these numbers.

Yet we were told that Global Warming would cause more frequent & intense storms.  The recent explosion in the Pacific is caused by a super El Nino, a naturally occurring cycle.  These are just some things to think about on this quiet Labor Day weekend.  Until the upper pattern shifts, expect more of the same with the heat dome rotating down storms in a ring of fire pattern.

Could we see another close in development along these left over frontal boundaries along the northern Gulf?  Perhaps, but models aren't seeing anything.  Hail El Nino & wind shear!  Finally, Look at this view of morning fog up in New York.

You can see all the valleys & lakes stand out in a cool morning due to the upper East Coast trough bringing them delightfully dry, cool Canadian air.  Give it time as that first cold front is only weeks away.  Enjoy your Labor Day and stay tuned!

Upper Low Over Gulf, Stupid is What Stupid Does

 When I came to NOLA back  in 1978,  local folks would tell me "you can set your watch to the timing of daily showers".  And they were right as once into June and through all of Summer, showers developed over the warm Gulf waters before daybreak and then redeveloped inland during daytime heating moving in from the SE moving to the NW.  The timing was late morning into early afternoon.  This summer we haven't seen much of that as storms have rotated around a heat dome (ring of fire) moving in from the north to the south.  Finally, this morning we had a more "typical" summer day with a tropical wave bringing in before dawn storms moving SE to NW.  Part of that motion is due to an upper low over the Gulf.  A weak tropical wave moved along a boundary covering the northern Gulf coasts.

It appears the cluster of storms east of Florida is caused by a splitting in the upper wind flow.  NHC is not mentioning any development anywhere for the next 1-2 weeks.

Aside from the cluster of storms east of Florida, nothing is going on.  No model sees anything through Sept. 15th.  All the action continues in the Pacific.

Hurricane Lowell is back to a Cat. 4 heading to a Cat. 5.  Fortunately, the NHC track keeps the brunt of the storm far enough to the west of the Islands so impacts should be just high surf.  Locally, we just have that one area east of Florida to watch.

There appears to be a hint of rotation east of Jacksonville, but NHC isn't concerned.  Look for a basic summertime forecast for this Labor Day weekend with no tropical threats. Now back to stupid.  We had a slow moving line of storms drift through this morning.

3-4" fell over Metairie between 6-7 AM overwhelming the pumps causing serious street flooding.  As usual, some drivers tried to get though the deep waters creating massive wakes.  Some cars didn't get through. Here are my views from high atop Copeland tower.

So here comes a car blasting down North Hullen.   Oops!  Stupid is what stupid does!  Not all cars made it.

So the question you might ask is this.  "How can we prevent this from happening again?"  The answer is simple.  We can't since the costs to build a system to deal with these excessive rain events 3-4"+/hour would amount to the trillions (not billions) of dollars.  No city/country on this Planet can handle such intense rainfall rates.  We will see temporary street flooding or worse.  Kudos to the Jefferson Parish drainage department.  All the water was off the streets before 9 AM.  A remarkable job of pumping!  Enjoy your weekend with no tropical threats.  Stay tuned!