Nice Feel To Linger, Colder Front Next Friday, Kyle Very Unlikely

 October is my favorite month as fronts start bringing down cooler & drier (good feel) air.  Sometimes we can go through the first 15-20 days of November with similar fronts, not too cold yet.  This weekend is near perfect with that Fall feel to the air courtesy of a front that has dropped well down into the Gulf.

As I mentioned yesterday, this front is NOT the Polar Vortex as the air isn't cold enough nor is the any snow cover except over eastern Canada.  The Polar Vortex is up over the North Pole.

If you look at the snow cover on satellite views, you'll see why southern Canada isn't that cold yet.

Until Canada gets a snow cover, the real cold air is several weeks away from coming to us.  Although our next front next Friday will be colder than this one.  Here's the WPC's forecast position.

Let's just enjoy this transition to cooler weather that will allow our bodies to acclimate to the coming chill.

The rain chances will stay low all week with only a stray shower ahead of that next front. Finally,

There is an area of low pressure east of the Bahamas but the upper wind shear will not allow for any tropical system to form.  Enjoy your Sunday and maybe our Saints can rebound?  Stay tuned!

No Polar Vortex, Just Weekend Cooldown, Kyle Not Likely

As we transition from Fall to Winter, we start to look for a big dip in the jet stream (Polar Vortex) that sets up over the Great Lakes.  This allows the coldest air over Canada to invade the lower 48 states.  Right now, we have an upper low that is over the Great Lakes, but it's not the Polar Vortex.  This upper low will bring some cooler (Not colder) air our way for this weekend, bringing out the sweaters and jackets.

Sure it's in the 30s & 40s up north, but I don't see below-freezing temps yet.  IF you are a subscriber, yesterday's podcast focused on the Polar Vortex and this Winter's outlook that might include some snow here.

To see & hear the full discussion, you need to be a subscriber.  Go to bobbreck.com and sign up. The feature NHC was following out in the Atlantic appears less likely to become our next named storm (Kyle).

Upper wind shear and cooler waters should not allow much development. Back home, we should enjoy a really nice Fall feel this weekend.

Look for lots of high, thin clouds this weekend, but no rain is likely during the next 5-7 days.

If you're looking to use the heavy coats, that's not likely for another 10-14 days.  Enjoy your weekend and the nice dry feel outside.  Stay tuned!