Back to Da Beach, Nor'easter Status Quo

Hurricane Isaias chased me from Orange Beach for my birthday week, but it's back to the beach this week as Captain Hylton Petit is celebrating his 80th B-Day this Friday.  Not sure I can do a podcast, but I'll try.  What I will do is take pictures showing how Orange Beach survived Isaias.  I'll post those on Thursday.  IF I can figure out a podcast, that will air Thursday or Friday for all of my subscribers.  Weather-wise, it couldn't be any better, as there will be plenty of sunshine with highs in the 70s and nights around 60. All of that is the result of the stalled Nor'easter.

NHC continues to give it a moderate (40%) chance to become "sub-tropical" later this week.  They are now calling it INVEST 93 L.  It has wave heights 25'+ and is causing some beach erosion.  Models take it out to sea for later this week.

The window for development is closing, and if the models are correct on the future track, impacts will be minimal.  For us, it keeps bringing down the cooler and drier air.  There are no fronts coming for another 7-10 days, meaning we should stay dry & pleasantly cool.

There is an area of clouds across the western Gulf, but that is drifting into Texas.

So for the next 5-7 days, look for Sunny, mild days and comfy cool nights.

Only in the western Pacific do we find a major typhoon(Champi, 180 mph).

He is expected to weaken as he turns towards Japan.  Our tropical season is over as hurricanes do not like cooler air.  Enjoy.  Stay tuned!

Nor'easter Beginning to Crank, Could Become Josephine

As models have advertised for days, low pressure is forming just offshore from the North Carolina coast.  NHC has increased chances (40%) for development into a "sub-Tropical" storm since it remains over the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream.  Already the Outer Banks of North Carolina are feeling beach erosion threatening to take down more vacation homes.

Currently, there are no T-Storms around the center of circulation, and it is more of a cold-core, winter-like structure.

Since it is nearly stationary, high pressure over the Ohio Valley will drift eastward and block any movement to the north.  Even if NHC doesn't give it a name (Josephine), impacts will be felt from Long Island down to the Carolinas.  Already, wave heights top 20 feet.

FOX Weather has been indicating all along that this will be named.  What I like is the way they explain the difference between Tropical & Sub-Tropical.

Unlike local broadcasters, who are limited by time, FOX Weather goes into great details as to the WHY the forecast.  I always enjoyed explaining why the forecast and not just showing the models.

Don't get me wrong, models are so much better/more accurate now that you can't ignore them.  I just enjoyed going into the details of satellite & radar views, which I get to show you on my FB posts.

Currently, we have a setup (Lows off both coasts) that will prevent any new cold front from reaching us this week.  All the cold air is bottled up in Canada & Alaska.

Interior Alaska even has some single digit temps.  For that chill to reach us, we'll need to see another dip in the Jet Stream over the Great Lakes and eastern states.

With the Nor'easter developing, expect the rest of this week to stay dry with warm days and comfy cool nights.

Finally, I was honored to be invited to the 80th celebration in the life of Susan Muller.

Her husband for 50+ years, Dr. Robert Muller, has been a dear friend for over 40+ years.  He suggested we wear something semi-formal, black & white.  As you can see, the little fella didn't come close to the dashing doctor.  Check out those shoes & Hat!  It was a wonderful evening to share with friends.  Enjoy our great weather & stay tuned!