NE Heat Wave, Interesting East Coast Low, Hail Grand Isle Tarpon Rodeo!

 If it's July, it's time for the International Grand Isle Tarpon Rodeo, which occurs the last weekend of July for the last 98 years.  That makes it America's oldest fishing rodeo and I'm again honored to be the M.C. of the Awards presentation Saturday night July 25th.  Our 2026 President is Attorney General Liz Murrill with the Admiral of the Fleet (Next year's President) Tab Troxler

We have a line up of great local bands with local food vendors plus the usual kid's events (daily crab races).  But to me the biggest reason for you to register is to have a chance for our grand prize of $10,000.  No boat?  No problem.  Don't fish? No problem.  Live in Boston?  No problem. Can't drive down to Grand Isle?  No problem.   For $50 registration fee, you'll have the opportunity for that $10K top prize.  Just go to tarponrodeo.org and sign up.  The odds of winning are way better than the Powerball or state lotto.  Weather-wise, the Northeast heat wave is the big story.

All the major cities from D.C. to Boston topped 100 bringing out all the global warming alarmists.  But hold on Mr. Hot Breath.  Check out this map Joe Bastardi had on WeatherBell Analytics today.

Do you see when most of the state's all time heat records were set?  Yep, back in the 30s, 40s, and 50s.  Remember, figures can lie and liars can figure.  The other interesting story is the feature off the East coast.

There is an obvious low level circulation near the Gulf Stream, but NHC isn't highlighting this area anymore.  Why Not?

Probably because the water vapor view shows all the dry air to the north, plus none of the models indicate development.  In addition, the MJO remains in the unfavorable (sinking air) phase.  So we're back to our daily T-Storms for this 4th of July weekend.

These are our natural air conditioning showers that keep us from getting too hot.  You can see where it's raining just by the temperatures.

Finally, on my way home from golf with Ron Swoboda, I was behind a JPSO car as we approached the intersection of Causeway & Veterans northbound.  There are 3 signs marking NO LEFT TURN and two saying NO TURN ON RED.   Every day I see drivers totally ignoring those signs.  However, today the car in front of the JPSO car made the illegal left turn.  I wondered...would the Sheriff's car go after him/her?  Or totally ignore the breaking of the law?  Fortunately, my faith in law enforcement was restored as the JPSO deputy put on his lights and went after the person breaking the law.  Why doesn't Sheriff Lopinto target this intersection as it's one of Jefferson's busiest?  His men could easily write 200+ tickets a day and make the rest of us law abiding citizens safer in the process.  Bravo to the JPSO deputy this afternoon!  Stay  tuned!

MJO Unfavorable, Tropics Shut Down, July 4th Summer Heat Wave, Daily Storms Here

Many of you have heard the doom & gloom regarding more frequent everything, from heat waves to tornadoes to Hurricanes to snow storms yada, yada.  In our current warm CYCLE, we have seen more intense rain storms with flooding, but that makes sense since warmer air can hold more water vapor.  What I can't get over this year is the lack of Tropical activity Worldwide.  Yeah, there have been a few named storms, but certainly the atmosphere isn't exploding with hurricane/typhoons.  I know it's early and there's plenty of time to catch up.  But in this El Nino year of wind shear & Saharan dust, the lack of activity is stunning.  We start over the Western Pacific (WPAC) basin and work towards the Atlantic.

Wow, only one weak tropical storm of all 4 disturbances out there.  But alas, nobody is saying anything.  The Atlantic is just as hostile as the dust keeps pouring off of Africa shutting down the MDR for at least another 2-3 weeks.

But when I say hostile environment, this is what I mean.  The Water Vapor has TUTT lows everywhere with massive amounts of dry air and wind shear.

Is it any wonder why NHC says no development expected?  OK, but there is a dangerous, intense & deadly heat wave for much of the eastern states right?  Let's give it a look.

Yeah, the actual temperatures are 90+, but what is stunning is seeing 70+ dew points up to Green Bay & Maine.   What bothers me is how every national network news program hypes the current heat like it's never happened before.  Is it dangerous?  Certainly, but it was just as dangerous (maybe even more so before AC became widespread) when I was growing up in NW Indiana back in the 40s & 50s.  I'm a believer in not scaring folks to use precautions.  Rather, use less descriptive adjectives like USE COMMON SENSE, USE SUNSCREEN, WEAR HATS, PAY ATTENTION IF OUTDOORS because it's summertime!  I guess I'm old school?!!!  Some T-Storms returned to south Louisiana today.

 

Those storms brought cooling relief to many.  You can see where it's raining and where it's not.

Zack mentioned this morning that the next 7 days will be basic summertime with rain each day somewhere.  Long range guidance is hinting another upper high will develop over the South in the next 7-10 days, meaning our rain chances will decrease and temps. will increase.  I expect several more heat waves (95-98) for us between mid-July and late August.  But that has happened before.  Get use to hearing about dangerous heat.  Stay tuned!