One of the things I watch for at this time of the year is heavy rains that fall on top of deep snow pack up north. A little over a week ago heavy snows fell from Dallas across Arkansas into Ky. & TN. Earlier this week a huge surge of warm air moved northward melting most of that snow, but a band of heavy rainfall (2-3”+) soaked most of Kentucky & Tennessee before another snowstorm yesterday blanketed the same areas from Dallas northeastward into D.C. 2 Days ago the Mississippi River stage at Cairo, IL . was falling at 28 feet (flood stage is 40’). When I checked today their gage rose 3+ feet with a crest above 43’ coming on March 10th. That’s a whopping rise of 15 feet. It will take 2 weeks for that rise to reach us, but I would guess our Carrollton gage will jump from the current 7 feet to above 10+ feet provided no more heavy rains fall. It could be a pattern setting up that will bring us river problems here in April & May much like 2 years ago? Stay tuned!
In the short term, we’ve seen some exceptional temperature drops (30-40 degrees) over a few hours and could be dealing with record cold (31) Friday morning after record warmth (85 Audubon Park) on Wednesday. Fortunately, the next 2 days look dry with filtered sunshine through high, thin clouds. The warm up will be painfully slow with highs staying below normal/average for the next 5-7 days. Next week’s pattern is setting up to be a rainy one for several days.