Monday, October 15, 2018

Chill is Coming, Slowly...

It’s mid-October and we tied a record high of 90 degrees.  Aw C’mon, 90 degrees on Oct. 15th?   Way too warm for so late into Fall.  I’ve mentioned before, when it’s one extreme, the weather usually goes to the other and I do expect sweater weather to really arrive by this Sunday.    It’s heavy coat weather in Texas where Dallas never got out of the 40s today, but that kind of chill will stay just to our west as the cold front will lose upper support and only stagger through us late tomorrow or early on Wednesday.  That will drop our temps 10-15 degrees which should get us to where we should be at this time of the year.  The weekend front arrives late Saturday and it will be stronger pushing down into the Gulf bringing a spell of good feeling air behind it.   I’m so excited that I’m going into the attic to switch out my Winter weather gear (sweaters) for my summer t-shirts & shorts.   I have noticed my grapefruit tree (which is loaded again) starting to change colors as the cooler nights start to work their magic.  In another 3-4 weeks, I should be picking my first fruit.  Satsumas are ready now, but grapefruit needs colder air to sweeten up.   


Saw more video of several newly constructed homes that had little damage despite being in the eyewall of Michael.   Yes you can/must build stronger in hurricane prone areas.   Concrete & steel does cost more than wood, but look at the results.  Florida will build back, but how they build will determine if past history repeats in the future.  Stay tuned!

Sunday, October 14, 2018

Winter Not Far Away...

Now that we’ve reached mid-October and fronts are coming, our attention shifts from the Tropics to the building cold air up north.    While we reach 86 this afternoon, Denver was snowing and in the 20s.  That snow area has shifted into Kansas tonight and will spread into Iowa by morning.  We will see a cool front stagger through later this week, but it will lack a real push down into the Gulf.  If it stalls along our coast, we could see an ugly rain pattern for late week into the weekend.  The front the following week looks to be stronger, and that will have folks pulling out the sweaters and heavier coats.   In the short term, the muggies are back and that means those nice, cool nights are gone for the next several days.  


Watching the network news coverage of the destruction from hurricane Michael and one thing I did notice was several structures remained intact while most of the homes around them were gone.  You can build stronger homes in hurricane prone areas.   Certainly it will cost more, but over time, it’ll be less expensive.  Somehow, insurance companies should be able to offer discounts to those who invest in stronger than code buildings.  Nah, that makes too much sense.  Stay tuned!

Saturday, October 13, 2018

Real Cold Still waiting Till Next week...

While the Tropics have shut down as the MJO has gone into the unfavorable (sinking air) phase. we still are waiting for sweater weather to show up.   Yea, it felt nice the past few mornings. But the muggies will be back for the next couple of days as the next front fizzles out.   We will need sweaters later this month, but not for the next week.   I’m seeing & reading that this winter will be much below normal for most of the east and south.   With an El Nino coming on, look for more Gulf Storms developing bringing  us the opportunity for some southern snowstorms.   Yea, I’m one of those who believes never let facts get into the way of a real story.   If you say something without any corroborating facts, the folks will believe it anyway.    Whatever, enjoy this weekend as this good feel air is not going to hang around beyond Saturday.  Stay tuned!



Thursday, October 11, 2018

Avoid The Eyewall...

Watching the various network news programs this evening clearly showed the almost total destruction of structures that were in the eyewall of Michael.   We have heard for years that, " a hurricane is more than a point".  Translation...impacts can be felt many miles from the center.   However, it's clear to me over the years, if you can stay outside the eyewall where the winds are the strongest, your structure will/should be able to withstand the wind forces.   Typically, the eye of a hurricane is 10-20 miles wide with the eyewall 10-20 miles around he eye.   So if you can follow the center line track, you'll know where the worst impacts will occur.   This was a really bad storm that was extremely well predicted days in advance.   People have to learn that riding it out or hunkering down when a major hurricane is coming, is not very smart.   I hope all of you in SE LA/MS saw what can/will happen here when another storm stronger than Katrina comes.   Buildings will fail, levees will be topped and those foolish enough to stay behind will die.  Period.   We will not have to deal with that type of storm anymore this year.  The MJO is going into the unfavorable (sinking air) phase and cold fronts are coming so we are safe for the rest of this season.  However, we all know it's only a matter of time.  That threat will come our way someday in the future.

What a beautiful day with bright sunshine and low humidity.  We haven't felt this good since back in early May.  It won't last long as the muggies will return by Sunday.  Models were bullish about another strong front for next week, but they have backed off some today.  Really cold air (20s & 30s) covers much of the Rockies & Plains where they have gone from Summer to Winter in a matter of weeks.  Hopefully, we'll have a more gradual transition where our Fall will be as nice as our last Spring?   And wouldn't that be nice!  Stay tuned!