Thursday, September 20, 2018

Which Will be Kirk, Leslie or Michael?

We continue to be in a lull across the Tropics this week, but the MJO is heading back into the rising air mode for next week.  Expect to see several systems getting named at once & there are 3 possibilities showing up on satellite loops tonight.   A well-defined low level swirl of clouds near Bermuda has no storms around it  since there is too much NW upper wind shear.   Another well-defined swirl is several hundred miles SE of Barbados with yet the third, and largest swirl coming off of Africa.  None of them look to ever be a threat to the northern Gulf coast.    Long range models continue to bring our first real cold front through for the last week in September.  That’s still over a week away so don’t look for any relief from our humidity & heat just yet.   Today saw a few late PM storms that swamped some neighborhoods while leaving nearby areas dry.   Parts of Jefferson received 2-3”+ while in Orleans very little fell.   It appears our heat wave is finally over as our daily shower chances have returned.   I’ll be happy to get into October when we know more fronts will be coming and we can say goodbye to 90 degree heat and hello to less humid good feel air.   Most of Montana had highs in the 60s today.  It’s only a matter of time…Stay tuned!

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