Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Super Typhoon Threatens Taiwan, Dust, TUTT Lows In Atlantic, No Fish

Super typhoon Bavi has weakened to a Cat. 4 (150 MPH), but still packs quite a punch.  Fortunately, it only brushed Guam and is on a future track that will keep the worst part of the storm away from Taiwan.  The western Pacific basin (WPAC) is the only area of the Tropics that has any current activity.



The Atlantic Basin remains shut down due to extensive Saharan Dust and upper lows (TUTT) that hinder any development.






Computer models are hinting the Eastern Pacific (EPAC) will start to see storms in the 10-14 day time frame, but for our part of the World, things should remain quiet.  For us locally, it's typical summertime heat with spotty storms.




Some folks are getting hammered again this afternoon.




Where it's raining, it's less hot.



We went fishing yesterday afternoon and learned that the heavy rains of the past two weeks have chased all the trout farther outside into saltier waters.  Here's the best thing about our fishing trip.


Despite nearby lightning storms, this is the Shell Beach sunrise.  All was not lost as I had to go get my gear to go down to Grand Isle in 2 weeks.  Remember the Rodeo begins on July 23 to July 25th.
Go to tarponrodeo.org to register for a chance to win the $ 10,000 grand prize.  You don't have to fish or even go to Grand Isle to win.  Also, original subscribers to my Podcast will receive a notice for renewal before August 1st.


If I do a podcast this week, it will be on why we should see no tropical threats for the rest of this month.  Go sign up before the next Gulf tropical threat arrives in August or September.  Stay tuned!

Sunday, July 5, 2026

Super Typhoon Brushing Guam, Pop Up Storms Here, Tropics Remain Dead.

 The biggest news on the Planet is super Typhoon Bavi, whose winds have increased to 180 MPH.  He has classic satellite structure of a Category 5 Hurricane.  Fortunately, it appears he will only brush Guam, but there are other Mariana Islands that won't be so lucky.




This is the only active named system in the World as the EPAC and Atlantic Basins are shut down.



It's not surprising that the Atlantic Basin is quiet in this El Nino summer.  That was expected.  But the lack of activity in the EPAC region was not anticipated.  Unless something changes in the Atlantic Basin, we could see us go zero for July in terms of named storms.  That would be nice since the Grand Isle Tarpon Rodeo is less than 3 weeks away.


I will be calling someone's name as the winner of the $10,000 grand prize and all you have to do is purchase a registration packet ($50) to enter.  You don't have to fish or even come down to Grand Isle to win.  Just go to tarponrodeo.org and sign up.  After last week's Heat dome is gone, our daily T-Storms are back.





The North Shore is getting hammered while a few storms have perked up south of Lake P.  Since they are slow movers, some neighborhoods are getting 1-2" of rainfall.  Expected more of the same for the next several days.


Finally, those of you who are subscribers to my podcast will be getting renewal notices. Hopefully, most of you believe the $2/month is worth it.


When our next tropical threat comes, I'll be doing daily, perhaps multiple podcasts in an effort to give you enough information, and my opinions based on 50 years of experience, so you can make the correct decision to stay or leave.  Go to bobbreck.com and join us.  I'll probably will be fishing Monday & Tuesday so my next post might not be until Wednesday.  Stay tuned!