Grief Support Coffee, Eastern Heat Wave, Tropics remain Dead

 For the past 7 years I have been part of a grief support group at St. Catherine's in Metairie.  I've learned a lot from Patricia Lawson & Becky Steppe (our group leaders) and so, with so many widows & widowers living here at Copeland Tower, I've decided to start a new grief support coffee on the first Monday of each month.  You don't have to be a resident of Copeland Tower to attend, but I would need you to register with me at bobbreck@cox.net.

Our next coffee will be Monday July 6th at 10 AM.  If you have lost a loved one and are struggling on your grief journey, come listen to others who walk in our shoes.  There is no cost to attend.  Just contact me.

As promised, my next podcast will be about my vacation to the Biltmore Estate in Asheville.  It might also deal with some tropical activity as NHC continues to highlight an area off the Carolinas.

With the MJO in the unfavorable (sinking air) phase,  I don't see anything happening including in the Gulf or Caribbean where dry air and upper lows remain in charge.

NWS is expecting the upper high to drift northward this coming week with some tropical moisture rotating in towards us from the east by midweek.  No model develops any surface low, just some tropical moisture that will allow for increasing rain chances here. For Monday, it should be another day of below normal rain chances.

Those 100+ temps in Texas will spread over the eastern states, and coupled with high 70+ dew points, it will feel extremely uncomfortable for the eastern 2/3rd of the nation.

There were a few brief showers with the sea breeze front, but for most it's been just hot & dry.

The increase in rain chances by Wednesday should help make it less hot.  finally,

My next podcast will deal with the current lack of tropical activity plus some spectacular pictures of the Biltmore resort.  To sign up to watch, go to bobbreck.com.  As we get closer to the heart of hurricane season, my podcast expands on my Face Book post giving you my experienced opinion that often is different than the NHC & NWS discussions.  Come join us.  Stay tuned!

Tropics Waking Up? Eastern Heat Wave, Goodbye Biltmore

My vacation to the Biltmore in Asheville was everything I expected, and more.  It's a beautiful, awesome location in the mountains outside Asheville, and the Vanderbilt family has preserved an incredible look into the lives of the Rich & Famous.  The Biltmore House is the largest in our nation, totaling 175,000+ sq. ft. with over 250 rooms & 65 bathrooms, along with living quarters for the staff/servants that served the family.

As beautiful Biltmore is during the day, the nighttime views are stunning!  I will do a podcast on the Biltmore House in next week's podcast.  However, I may have to include some tropical weather too since NHC began highlighting area off the Carolinas for next week.

If you want to see one of the wonders of America and hear my comments about tropical development, you'll need to sign up for my podcast at bobbreck.com.  Why wait for our next tropical threat? Go sign up and see what you've been missing this past year.  My podcast expands on my Facebook posts and the cost is only $2/month.  If you look at the current satellite views, you would wonder what NHC is looking at.

At the moment there is nothing there with an upper high centered over the Gulf.  that high is predicted to move northward and expand over the eastern states this weekend.  That frontal boundary (black dash lines) is projected to drop down the east coast with the possibility of a weak surface low forming drifting into the Carolinas. Here's the WPC's forecast maps beginning with next Monday followed by Tuesday Wednesday & Thursday.

As you can see, they have a weak low early on, but they don't develop it.  So why is NHC interested/concerned?  Mainly because the Google Deep Mind AI model hints at something.  With the MJO is the unfavorable (sinking air) phase, I find it hard to believe something will form.  Locally, it's about heat & spotty storms. there is NOTHING right now in the Tropical Atlantic basin.

The front to our north will never get close and the heat over Texas will expand to cover most of the eastern states next weekend.

Not many storms popped up, but they were concentrated on the South Shore.  They helped give some relief from the heat.

 

So in the short term, the next several days will be hot, humid and mostly dry.  As we head towards July, I don't see any tropical threats here as the MJO and upper wind shear should keep things quiet.  Regardless, I will have a new podcast for subscribers early next week.  Come join the party.  Stay tuned!