No Polar Vortex, Just Weekend Cooldown, Kyle Not Likely

 As we transition from Fall to Winter, we start to look for a big dip in the jet stream (Polar Vortex) that sets up over the Great Lakes.  This allows the coldest air over Canada to invade the lower 48 states.  Right now, we have an upper low that is over the Great Lakes, but it's not the Polar Vortex.  This upper low will bring some cooler (Not colder) air our way for this weekend bringing out the sweaters and jackets.

Sure it's in the 30s & 40s up north, but I don't see below freezing temps yet.  IF your are a subscriber, yesterday's podcast focused on the Polar Vortex and this Winter's outlook that might include some snow here.

To see & hear the full discussion, you need to be a subscriber.  Go to bobbreck.com and sign up. the feature NHC was following out in the Atlantic appear less likely to become our next name storm (Kyle).

Upper wind shear and cooler waters should not allow much development. Back home, we should enjoy a really nice Fall feel this weekend.

Look for lots of high, thin clouds this weekend, but no rain is likely during the next 5-7 days.

If you're looking to use the heavy coats, that's not likely for another 10-14 days.  Enjoy your weekend and the nice dry feel outside.  Stay tuned!

NHC Gotta Have Kyle, New Podcast, Cooling Trend Into Weekend.

I've been watching a very weak cool front staggering through south LA/MS bringing some brief showers with it.  Skies are clearing and drier (good feel) air is filtering in.  The real chilly air will stay well to our north as the upper disturbances continue to stay well to our north.   The second upper disturbance over the Rockies will swing along the bottom of the first system over the Plains bringing us a re-enforcing shot of colder air this weekend.

 Our current upper flow is from the Pacific meaning the next 2-3 days will continue to be pleasantly mild to warm during the day.

Dew points to our west are in the 40s & 50s and that will allow nighttime lows to drop into the 50s.  The real cold is still 7-10 days away.

 

With the main energy far to our north, the heaviest rains are now into Alabama & Georgia.  There was a comment over the weekend regarding a person who still though the super heavy downpours were due to "Chemtrails", government spraying  that creates bad weather.  Well, think of this today.

What you saw BEHIND the cold front were "condensation trails" from jet aircraft.  IF the government were spraying, they would spray in front of a front, not behind it.  It's from the same folks that say Global Warming is a hoax.  Our current Global Warming CYCLE is very real.

The drier air behind this first front will allow North Shore Temps to dip into the 50s with some 40s coming over the weekend.  Sweater weather is here!  Finally,

NHC now has chances for development up to 50%.  The will call it "sub-tropical" but will eventually give it the name of Kyle.  That'll make 11 named storms allowing all the preseason forecasters to claim they were right.  We all know many of those storms were "nothing-burgers" and the ACE totals back us up.  My podcast this week will talk about the quiet Atlantic season and re-focus on why this coming Winter will be an active one for the West Coast, Rockies and all across the deep South.  To view it, you need to subscribe at bobbreck.com.  Stay tuned!