One Day Cold Front, Rain Next Week? Thank You Great Comments

 As we get further into Spring, the cold fronts get weaker and weaker as the sun angle gets higher and the length of daylight gets longer. Tomorrow's front will have a brief kick to it bringing some cooler and drier air, but it won't last beyond Sunday PM.  On the weather map it looks pretty impressive with a significant temperature cooldown behind it.

For us, the cooling will only be 5-10 degrees, but our 60+ dew points should drop into the 30s & 40s making the air feel great!  Unfortunately, there will be little, if any, rain with this front.  Why?  Check out the flow on the water vapor.

Note all the dry air above us even though we are moist at the surface.  Models are hinting that the upper ridge will continue to shift to the East coast as a deep trough develops over the Western states.  As the trough comes eastward, our rain chances should finally increase for next week.

Will rain chances be 40% every day next week?  Probably not, but what the extended tells us is they won't be zero.  We'll be able to zone in on which days have higher chances the closer we get into next week.   Finally,

Your comments regarding my engagement to Valerie Adams truly touched my heart.  She has brought Bob back to the Bob you know...full of energy & life.  I'm humbled by all your support and thrilled to be with you to help Weather any Storms we might have this Hurricane Season.  You're happy to join us on our wedding cruise in December down to Belize AFTER Hurricane Season is over!!!  Enjoy your weekend and stay tuned!

 

Strong Front Brings Severe Threat Up North, Little Impacts Here, Yesterday's Ring Day

 Let's begin with some exciting news first since our weather remains boring. As you know, I am a commitment guy and have found a new partner, Valerie Adams, at Copeland Tower.  Yesterday she received my commitment of an engagement ring with our wedding date set for December 4th on a cruise down to Belize. Note, we are doing that AFTER Hurricane season is over!  If you see us around town, don't be afraid to come up and congratulate her.

OK, our weather has been delightfully boring.  All the warm air has pollen everywhere and this has been my worst allergy season ever.  There is some hope for change, but not much and here's why.  I've drawn in the west to east flow across the county with the flatten, dry upper ridge over the south.

This current set up will not allow fronts near us.  However, a weak upper disturbance coming across southern Canada will sharpen the trough over the eastern states allowing for a weak front to reach us.  don't get too excited as the cooling will be minimal but the drier air should make for cooler nights.

The air north of this front is still winter-like, but it's not coming here. Note the 90+ from Amarillo to St. Louis.  With such temperature contrasts, SPC believes there is a risk for severe storms later this evening.

They have a level 3 risk over a large area today, but weaken that to zero for Friday.  For us and much of the SE, it's the lack of rain.

Computer models are hinting there could be better rain chances coming next week for us, but when in drought, leave it out.  The other issue is dense fog in the morning as a dense fog advisory is in effect.

A large patch of sea fog remains over the NE Gulf and will spread along the entire Gulf coast later tonight.

I'm not going to get too excited about next week's rain chances just yet since I don't see any fronts coming.  Perhaps Saturday's front will stall and back over us producing some much needed rainfall?  Let's hope so.  Stay tuned and hang in there with those allergies!