Finally Have Gabrielle, No Named Storm Lingers, Few Storms For Us

NHC has named the 7th named storm of the 2025 hurricane season way out in the Atlantic that might become this season's 2nd hurricane over the weekend.  Satellite views are not very impressive and NHC relocated the center farther to the north of previous positions.  Regardless, this storm will not impact the U.S. coastline turning to the north towards Bermuda.

It appears the center of Gabrielle is exposed on the western side with all the storms to the NE.   That indicates to me upper wind shear and development in the short term will be limited.

This movement to the NW & then curving has been seen with previous storms.  Why is that happening?  The feature often called the "Bermuda High" has not been there this year with the center of the Atlantic Ridge located way farther to the east.

That allows a weakness along the East Coast that forces to turn to the north.  That trend shows no signs of changing soon.  Once again, a boundary has set up from the western Caribbean to the NE.   Strong upper SW shear across the Gulf will prevent any development in the short term.

Now back to the "No named Storm" that battered Virginia & the Chesapeake Bay. yesterday.  Joe Bastardi was very critical about this not getting a name as a hybrid system.  Look at these graphics.

The impacts on land were far greater than that from Tropical Storm Barry back in June.  So why wasn't this named yet Barry was?   Residents were caught off guard by such winds, rains & flooding.  I don't have any answer here.  

Again, IF we are to get a threat this year, it will have to come from an in close system and not from the Atlantic.  Once model (A I) does see something in the Gulf for early October.

No other model shows that.  Locally, we have seen a few storms today.

Some folks are getting cooling relief.  No rain?  It's back to 90+.

Geez, the extended offers little hope for heat relief.  So, I'm announcing tomorrow's new podcast will be Ron Swoboda, former World Series hero of the '69 New York Mets & sports director at FOX 8.  But you can't see Ron unless you subscribe to my podcast at bobbreck.com.

The cost is $2/month (7 cents a day) with future guests, hurricane experts Bryan Norcross & Jim Cantore.  Even more exciting guests to follow so sign up now.  Stay tuned!

No Name Storm Batters Virginia/Jersey Coasts, No Gabrielle Yet

As NHC has been focused on the MDR for our next named storm, a strong hybrid system is clobbering the Delmarva Peninsula with heavy rains & wind gusts to 50 mph.   Joe Bastardi of Weather Bell Analytics said this is a classic example of NHC ignoring impacts despite this system being non-tropical (cold core).  He mentioned Tropical Storm Barry was named back in June despite having higher surface pressures and less of a satellite presentation than this no named system. So it's a hybrid.

 

So, even though it doesn't have a name, impacts are impacts, and many coastal communities are being battered with high tides, high surf & rip currents.  NHC remains focused out in the Atlantic.

That's where they believe, and models show development coming later this week.

There are no T-Storms forming around the low-level center of circulation, and NHC is keeping 92 L just an Invest.  Whatever develops, models turn it well to the north away from the U.S.  As I keep mentioning, IF we are to get a tropical threat during the next 4-5 weeks, it will come from the western Caribbean & Gulf.

We do have clusters of T-Storms aligned north to south, but the Gulf remains in a hostile upper environment. Right now, we have an upper trough over the Gulf creating strong upper wind shear.

In fact, until the upper pattern changes and becomes progressive, look for little change in our weather until next week at the soonest.

There have been a few stray showers, but most of us remain dry.  That means temps back above 90+.

I think it may be wishful thinking for next week, trying to bring a front on through.  Today I recorded a podcast with Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross.  We talked about how quiet it's been for the past 3 weeks during the heart of the hurricane season.  This has never happened in most of our lifetimes.

Of course, you cannot hear Bryan's opinions or the history of his life, which is quite different than mine, unless you subscribe to my podcast at bobbreck.com.  The cost is just $2/month and is well worth hearing from the legends.

Coming up on Thursday's podcast will be the life of my World Series Hero ('69 Mets), Ron Swoboda.  If you love baseball, sign up to hear Ron talk about some of the greats of the game.  Stay tuned!