This has been a really strange Hurricane Season so far. Today NHC named a swirl southeast of Bermuda Tropical Storm Fernand, the 6th named storm so far. Yet none of the named storms have really had any major land impacts. With the center of the Atlantic Ridge located so far out over the eastern Atlantic, storms have been turning northward around that ridge.
Tropical Storm Fernand certainly doesn't look like much on satellite views, but a Recon plane found a well-defined center, so NHC named it. Its track will keep him well east of Bermuda, another fish storm.
So the other area NHC is following would normally have us concerned since it takes 99 L into the Caribbean.
But none of the models develop this system, and NHC is only giving it a 20% chance. We'll watch, but not worry. However, look at the Gulf.
The leftover frontal boundary has settled down over the Gulf, allowing clusters of storms to develop. NHC isn't talking about it, but I get nervous when late August fronts come down into the Gulf. I'll have more about this on tonight's podcast, but you have to subscribe ($2/month) to hear & see me at bobbreck.com
One benefit of getting the podcast is IF you have to evacuate, you can get the podcast on your phone, no matter where you go. That's a smart reason to sign up. Speaking of more fronts coming, look at the upper flow bringing down the Canadian chill.
Don't start getting out the sweaters & jackets yet here. Notice the dew points in the 60s will filter over the North Shore for Sunday. A secondary front will push through late Tuesday-Wednesday, and even the South Shore will feel the cooler nights later next week.
For today, most storms are well south of New Orleans.
So without the rains, most of us are 90+, which won't change until that second front arrives midweek. Let's watch the Gulf for the next several days, as nothing out in the Atlantic will be our problem. Stay tuned!
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