Low forming in Northeast Gulf...

The same trough that gave us many rainy periods this past week has moved offshore over the Northeastern Gulf. Tonight satellite & radar loops along with buoy data indicate a weak surface low has developed south of Pensacola. Surface winds over Southeast Louisiana remain out of the SSW indicating the weak surface low to our east is not developing rapidly. When you get up on Sunday, see if our winds have turned northerly and increased. That will be a sign that the low is getting better organized. NHC has scheduled a Hurricane Hunter from Kessler to check it out. Steering currents are weak but it appears movement should carry this system slowly to the WSW. Computer models take it south of Louisiana and into the upper Texas coast early next week. Our main concern will be the threat for heavy rainfall spreading back our way on Monday. My gut says it will become a weak Tropical Storm (Edouard) and stay far enough to our south so as to have minimal effects on Louisiana. The danger is for it to blow up into a strong storm (remember Alicia 1983) just off our coast. Right now, strong upper winds from the NNE should steer a strong storm away from us. Will update again tomorrow.