Before you start hearing from the bloggers that Ike is coming our way, let me begin by saying he's over 2,400 miles away. That's like being in Salt Lake City and Ike's in New York. He's so far away that I will not waste energy until he nears the Gulf ,which according to NHC, isn't going to happen. Just as Dr. Masters on Weather Underground said this morning..." IF Hanna strengthens, she may knock down the Atlantic Ridge so that Ike should followe her up the east coast and NOT into the Gulf. Hanna looks to be getting better organized, so much so that NHC has moved Ike's forecast track to the right curving him BEFORE he gets to the Gulf. As always, I'll alert you if something changes.
I'm still without power tonight so I'm sleeping at my son's house. His power was only out for 12 hours. Sleeping without air conditioning? How did folks do it years ago?
7 comments:
Good night Bob Breck, I hope you get the rest you deserve. Thanks for helping people not fly into a panic. I trust you the most.
Didn't Katrina cross the mid/southern part of the panhandle then rampage up the GOM? If Ike hits SFLA (particularly as a cat 3/4 - Katrina was a Cat 1, right, and re-emerged as a TS) isn't it reasonable to wonder if Ike is also a GOM threat? Plus Fay has shown that Florida does not weaken storms all that much when they cross the swampy areas.
Moved here nine years ago and you are the meteorologist we like to watch. We trust your forecasts and advice when hurricanes are bearing down on us. Thanks for all the hard work and long hours you put in to keep us informed. Loved your website during our brief exile.
Bob- I understand you wanting to be somewhat of a voice of reason during hurricanes. However, shouldn't we have all learned a lesson from Katrina. I remember watching you and really relying on you, as so many New Orleanians. Your VIPIR had Katrina wrong while the other models were forecasting as swift west move. You quote 'mother of all storms' in your blog as if you’re making fun of the remark from Nagin suggesting his overreaction. If he didn't say that then perhaps many people would have stayed, and again we are dealing with Mother Nature, ridges, steering patterns, water temperature etc. There are many variables, and using Katrina as a baseline, especially with our dilapidated levees, lack of barrier islands and marshland, is prudent. The NHC and all of the experts have nailed this season. I know your owned by Benson now, but you don't have to give up all your draft pics (models), for what you think is going to save your team (VIPIR). BTW I don't have access to the VIPIR, because I would never pay for it. Junk in, Junk out.
Latest GFDL model runs are NOT looking good, chances are increasing for Ike entering the gulf. VIPIR had Gustav headed to Florida, VIPIR is only good with storms that are on your door step. Far out would not listen to VIPIR but close in would listen to VIPIR and the Bobster...
Bob,
Have you looked at the latest NHC track. It makes no mention of Ike following Hannah going up the east coast. Wake up.
I'm in Baton Rouge and have been following your blog since Gustav. I am glad you a bring a voice of reason to this. Panic and fear always make everything worse, and it's the last thing we need, whether there's a maybe-storm in the Atlantic or one right on our doorstep.
And I'm still sleeping without a/c here in Baton Rouge - concrete buildings and good airflow make it not so necessary ! :)
Post a Comment