Monday, November 9, 2009

Ida is bye ya...

Ida still is a tropical storm and should be on land after daybreak. City wide, rainfall amounts were less than .10" with heavier amounts south and east. As expected the Mississippi Gulf coast had the most with 1-2". The main story with Ida was her winds. She was a 105 mph Cat. 2 over the southern Gulf, but even near land, the buoys off the mouth of the river recorded gusts to 67 mph. That's remarkable for November as water temps over the northern Gulf are in the 70s, usually too cool to maintain a tropical system. I guess we should get use to these Gulf storms since, in an El Nino year, the winters across the southern states are wet due to the southern storm track being active. Hummmm...more Gulf storms? Colder air temps? Can you dream of the white stuff for the holidays? Remember last Dec. 11th? Nah, can't happen 2 years in a row?

Thanks for all your comments. I enjoy reading them.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for your passion and commitment Bob !

ONLYREAL said...

Thanks Bob for doing such a good job predicting Ida's path and its impacts on New Orleans.

Speaking of Snow...I guess Ida was a close enough of a call to keep the Snow/Tropical threat suspicion alive. LOL!

Unknown said...

Bob, thanks for the Blog. I live in Prairieville and this is where I come for information when a storm threatens. Your information is always practical, useful, well thought out and never, never over-dramatized. Keep up the good work, even though we can't get you on television, we need you man! Greg Brignac

ONLYREAL said...

Today will by windy and start out cloudy but those cloudy skies should begin to clear out by this evening. Expect sunny skies and fall like weather through Saturday as High Pressure dominates the region. Rain returns into the forecast on Sunday as an Upper Level disturbance passes to our North.

ONLYREAL

cheryl said...

thanks for being here with the logic..facts are great...snow....?

weatherbug said...

It seems like winter is not going to be cold since we have not had a cold blast so far. Last year we got cold weather in October, but this year is different. When do you think our first real cold blast is going to affect New Orleans?

ONLYREAL said...

I don't think this winter will be as cold as winter because of El Nino. There will be Southwest Flow aloft more days then when there is Northerly Flow aloft. Even though it probably won't be as cold as last winter it will likely be much stormier, and just because it is an El Nino year does not mean there won't be any Arctic Cold outbreaks this winter. The average temperature this winter will also be below normal but it won't be as below normal as last winter, which was exceptionally cold. If you want the white stuff you will need perfect timing with an Arctic Cold shot and a disturbance in the Southern Jet stream. Snow events in New Orleans during an El Nino event isn't unheard of either, you only have to go back to 2004 when we had a white Christmas. But in my opinion Sleet or some sort of an Ice storm would be more likely this winter due to the fact that many of the cold shots we will get this winter will be rather shallow due to the constant Southwest flow aloft. That's my general idea about this upcoming winter.

BTW...Cold air still building in Canada and Alaska.

ONLYREAL