Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Signs of Spring Coming !!!

It appears we will finally see an extended period (5-7 days) where temperatures will be above normal/average. In fact, from Saturday thru next Tuesday we will be 70+ before another cool down arrives. We are not done with cold weather, but the further we get into March, the less intense the cold will be. Still, it's too soon to plant the tomatoes. Generally wait until after March 15th. In the short term, the next 3 days will see plenty of sunshine with a gradual warming trend. Nights will still be cold (30s) but each day will see a rise...57 Wed, 61 Thur., 63 Fri, 67 Sat., 70+ Sunday. Next rain chance coming Monday afternoon.

According to AccuWeather & SPC, this past Feb. was the 1st in 60 years (since SPC records began) that didn't report a tornado. Other tornado free months were Oct. 1952, Dec. 1963, Nov. 1976, Jan. 1986, Jan. 2003 and now Feb. 2010. Kinda surprising since we have had such an active southern jet stream pattern. I suspect we'll see a ramp up in severe storms as the Spring warmth starts to show up.

3 comments:

CRAIG said...

Just to go back to the "talking point" article by Al Gore, if you read it he finally said the predictable that the "unusual cold and snowy" weather is ALSO a result of AGW, because the greenhouse effect TRAPS moisture, which is causing the unusual rain and snow.

Isn't the greenhouse effect supposed to heat up the planet?
And where does El Nino fit in here? I thought El Nino is responsible for the wacky weather of late. I don't think "El Nino" has anything to do with AGW. Maybe Bob can clarify this. If that's so, it makes Al nonsensical and contradictory.

I think he also made the comment that 2009 was the hottest on record. I think that's not true.

In several months, I wonder what he will say in his next article? I say several months because that's how long he took to respond to the unusual, below avg, temps occurring recently.

ONLYREAL said...

Today will the beginning of a beautiful stretch of Weather. There are a few low clouds this morning over our area but these will be long gone by Noon as drier air continues to steadily filter into the area from the North. Since the clouds presence will be absent today we will likely see temperatures jump into the mid to upper 50's this afternoon, perhaps 10F warmer than yesterdays high. This warming trend will be the main theme to this forecast. At first, this warming trend will be slow, but this is because we will still be under the influence of the East Coast Trough which keeps us under North-West Flow. By this weekend the East Coast Trough will begin to retrograde and lift out and upper level ridging will begin to move into the Mississippi River Valley. Once this happens, our real warm up will begin, and we may see 70F as soon as Saturday. The Ridge Axis should be passed our area by Sunday Afternoon and this will cause our winds to shift south and this could cause our highs to jump into the mid 70’s early next week.
Nothing lasts and our almost week long stretch of mostly sunny weather will come to an end. An upper level low and associated surface low will slide through the Great Plains on Monday and this will cause a Cold Front to move into the area Monday Night. Moisture will likely be plentiful by the time this front moves in and a line of showers and Thunderstorms looks to develop along the front. Right now I am NOT calling for any severe weather simply because this event is too far out. The cold front will bring another cool down but it doesn’t look like a significant cool down thanks to the higher sun angle.

-ONLYREAL

ONLYREAL said...

Ocean Cooling?

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/OceanCooling/