Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Climate Modeler Baffled by Cooling.

ICECAP.US has an interesting discussion about leading Climate modeler Dr. Kevin Trenberth admitting that the models don't account for the current cooling trend now happening around the Globe. He thinks the heat may be "hidden" in the Oceans and the warming trend will resume in the future...according to their models. Hummmm? Give it a look.

I think this April has been terrific weather-wise. A look back at the last 5 years finds that the "real heat" (90+) starts to arrive the 2nd or third week in May, with 2006 being the exception when we hit 91 on April 17th. The next 2 days should remain delightful before the muggies return in force on Friday & Saturday ahead of a cold front. There could be a few showers Friday PM but they are more likely during the day on Saturday. Sunday will see clearing skies and drier air move in with west winds that should allow us to soar to the warmest day (85-88) so far this year. We could use a little rain and most of us will get wet on Saturday.

2 comments:

CRAIG said...

Bob,

I was waiting for the AGW folks to tie this volcanic activity somehow to man-made global warming. And here it came.

On NBC Nightly News this past Sunday, Anne Thompson mentioned that this volcano COULD trigger global cooling, as past volcanoes have and REVERSE man-made global warming. This is the first time I've ever heard in the ex-stream media anything regarding volcanoes relative to global warming or cooling.

Now, are they bringing this up in an attempt to explain why AGW is not happening? Could the reason be that they never brought this up because it was contradictory to their agenda?

Well, one thing is for certain, the RECENT activity from this volcano couldn't have caused the record setting worldwide cold weather.

Would they have used this argument had the volcano erupted in say, Sept, Oct or Nov?

ONLYREAL said...

This eruption should not cause any global cooling because none of the Ash made it to the Stratosphere. What we need to pay attention to is the neighboring volcano, Katla which is far more powerful. If that one erupts it will have significant global consequences. For whats its worth, the ECMWF and CFS models show record cold in the Northern Hemisphere next winter.