Monday, July 12, 2010

2010 Not like 2005...

Watching TWC this morning and their new tropical guy(Dr. Rick Knabb) mentioned that back in the Katrina summer of 2005, we already had 5 named storms with 3 of them reaching hurricane force. So far in 2010 we have had one Hurricane. Does that tell us anything? Not really, unless this current quiet trend lasts well into August. Even then, the heart of the season for us is August & September...plenty of time for 12-15 storms to form. Still, I'm encouraged by this current quiet trend, but we all know it won't last.

Currently we have an upper high building across the northern Gulf which should limit our shower chances for the next 2-3 days. A tropical wave will increase moisture and shower chances by Friday thru the weekend.

4 comments:

ldm said...

ACE is down all over the world so far in 2010:

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/

I'd love to hear if you have any thoughts on why this, or what, if anything, this means for the rest of the year.

ONLYREAL said...

LD,

This is more than likely a direct result of the very limited activity on the Sun. No I do not think this will effect our Hurricane Season. I'm still expecting 19 named storms in the Atlantic Basin before the season is out.

-ONLYREAL

Bob Breck said...

Not smart enough to know why ACE is way down. Since all Global Warming Alarmists say the Sun has minimal effect on weather & climate, can't imagine current Sun inactivity affecting ACE...but then again, does anyone really know?

ldm said...

Thanks onlyreal and Bob for your comments.

I'm hoping that 'the trend is our friend' and that the 2010 season will turn out to be less active than predicted.