Thursday, July 22, 2010
Bonnie Bucking Upper Shear...
NHC's latest info tonight indicates pressure rises with T.S. Bonnie, usually a sign that the system isn't getting stronger. It's hard to believe she'll move over the warmest waters of the Gulf without getting stronger, but the upper environment should not allow her to grow. Louisiana continues to be in the bulleye of Bonnie, but NHC keeps shifting the track eastward on each advisory. If that trend contines, we'd end up on the weaker side of the storm. Bottom line, Bonnie will not become a Katrina, rather we'll likely see some heavy rains (2-4") on Sunday with some gusty winds (30-40 MPH) and higher tides. The winds and tides are likely to bring in more oil to the marshes. Keep that eastward shift going !
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
5 comments:
I still can't see how this storm can't intensify, just a big, in those warm gulf waters...Is there that much wind sheer in the gulf? I can't see this being a Katrina either, but possibly a CINDY..Remember that tropical storm that they eventually admitted was a CAT I hurricane??
Well if you look at the satellite photos you can see the big upper low that Bonnie seems to be following behind. This is causing the storm to have a harder time gaining strength. As Bob mentioned last night, this could become a strong tropical storm but there is a lot of sheer and rough environment for it to go through so it will have a tough time.
Waiting on Bob's take on this...Hopefully we'll get a mid day update...
Looks like that low in the gulf is GIANT..No wonder they don't expect intensification.
Wow... Florida has really done a number on Bonnie. Looks like she's barely a depression at this point... We may be fortunate this time...
Looks like Bonnie may be on her last leg... Area south of DR/HISP bears watching...
Post a Comment