Wednesday, July 7, 2010
Soon to be Bonnie?
NHC started issuing advisories on T.D. # 2 tonight as the broad area of low pressure in the southern Gulf is slowly getting better organized. It doesn't look very impressive on satellite pictures, but since it's less than 24 hours from reaching land, NHC didn't want to wait until daybreak to issue Tropical Storm Warnings. Her track is similar to Alex heading it towards south Texas making landfall as a 45-50 mph Tropical Storm named Bonnie. This will have no impact on us as building high pressure will dry us out, heat us up and diminish winds and seas allowing the oil clean up folks to return to duty. Our concern may be a return to Heat Advisories for this weekend.
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TD2 has formed this evening in the SW Gulf of Mexico. Despite the system having any deep convection at the moment the system exhibits a well-define surface circulation. Given that TD2 is in a low wind shear environment and it is in an area of 83F+ water temperatures TD2 will likely fire off some deep convection overnight and become Tropical Storm Bonnie upon landfall near the TX/MX border tonight.
-ONLYREAL
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