Radar loops tonight show a weak circulation south of Morgan City and Houma about 60 miles offshore. We are on the wet side of this low so expect quite a few showers/T-Storms around again on Saturday. Very dry air is just to our west, but it appaears we'll stay in the super muggies thru the weekend. It's not likely this low would develop with all this dry air nearby and SW wind shear over us. Seas have kicked up to 4-6' off our coast but the big cruise ships will have little trouble with that.
The tropical Atlantic is rocking with Cat. 4 Danielle now making a turn to the north away from the U.S. and T.S. Earl expected to become a major hurricane next week. He too should recurve to the north and not be a threat to the Gulf. Watching Dr. Knabb on TWC this morning and he indicated that once the pattern is set up (storms recurving around the Atlantic High), it's difficult to change, Reminds me of 1995 when we had 19 named storms with most curving far out to sea. However, I do recall a storm did form in late September over the Yucatan and head into the Gulf developing into a Cat. 4 Opal. Westerly winds steered Opal away from us but the Florida Panhandle/beaches took a beating. My thinking is we very well could see a late season (Oct1-15) storm in the Gulf, but hopefully cold fronts will cool down the waters and westerly winds turn the storm eastward away from us. Expect your weekend to be less hot due to more cloud cover and scat-numerous showers/T-storms.
1 comment:
Bob...
As I was reading the user comments after Dr. Masters' blog, several comments were made that the systems that were steering the storms look like they are bridging. Does that mean these storms are going to come farther west? Just trying to clarify.
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