Sunday, August 21, 2011

Irene Almost Hurricane Force...

Satellite and radar loops during the last 6 hours clearly show a better organized storm and Hurricane Hunters found a lowering pressure signaling a strengthening Irene. NHC has current max winds at 70 mph as the center is about to move over Puerto Rico. That may briefly interrupt Irene's development along with moving over mountainous Hispaniola tomorrow. Most computer models continue to show a turn to the north on lateTuesday-Wed, but if the turn is delayed until Thursday, Irene could go farther to the west and sneak into the extreme SE Gulf where a new trough should pick her up and take her along Florida's west coast into the Panhandle. Even on the extreme western track, Irene's impacts would stay well to our east. Our "pay attention" days will be Wednesday & Thursday as we should know by then which way (East of FL/West of FL) Irene will be going. Based on how all storms have been making the turn to the north this season, I'd be real nervous from Savannah to Mrytle Beach. Irene could explode to a Cat. 3 or stronger by then. Stay Tuned !

In the short term, It's August, it'll stay hot with daily spotty T-Storms.

3 comments:

Wiley said...

Maybe we will get lucky on this one.. Kinda figured you would wait till the 10pm advisory till you posted. Tks again!
And maybe Nashette can get that cruise in? Hope you have a blast!

Nashette said...

Wiley:
Thanks so much and as I look at the weather forecast this morning I am beginning to feel a lot better about crusing this weekend. Hope things stay as they are even though I don't want anyone to see IRENE. What would be great is if it skirted Miami and back out into the Atlantic! I am praying for people in Florida and along the eastern seaboard.

Anonymous said...

Could there be any tropical threats to the central gulf coast this year according to Mr.Bastardi?