Saturday, September 3, 2011

Lee has double center...

Wow, what a great satellite view on the visible channel showing 2 well defined swirls rotating around each other.
Visible Loop
NHC said they split the difference in determining Lee's location. A huge dry slot has rotated around the southern side and should bring us some sunny breaks this afternoon. We still will have some heavy squalls, but there will be enough breaks to allow the pumps to keep up. Until Lee's circulation gets to our north and east, we'll continue to have a heavy rain threat plus high water due to the strong ESE winds. 9.24" of rain has fallen at FOX 8 so far with more likely as Lee comes by us on Sunday. We are not done with the flooding threat yet, but you should be able to get out and about this afternoon in most areas. We still have some flooded streets mainly outside the levee protection system. Next post this evening.

P.S. VIPIR's timing of Lee(being faster) was correct. All models linger Lee around BTR/MSY for another 24 hours before picking him up and taking him to the NE.

14 comments:

Anonymous said...

Bob any chance of Lee becoming a weak hurricane?

Anonymous said...

(So far your correct),,,,man I gotta tell you, your name is getting out there bob, there are people all over the country talking about Bob Breck on every weather blog ive been on.

Dont start thinking about leaving us, with the way the nhc has been doing lately,there probably looking for a guy like you.

All eyes on Bob..

Anonymous said...

We pastor a church in St Charles Parish and are trying to decide whether to cancel tomorrow's services. Please advise.
karenmarze@yahoo.com

Anonymous said...

Man, I know its hard to predict the weather but come on, the national hurricane center has just about screwed up on every storm this year, every update on every storm this year there track has changed. Bastardi and Masters have also been wrong.
But I noticed masters dosnt put is 2 cents in, like he used to.
Guess your the goto guy now Bob..

Anonymous said...

We must live in a third world country here in Jefferson Parish. I understand we had ~10" of rain, but sewerage and drainage shouldn't conflict right? My neighborhood has been without sewerage service since 6am! Evidently evacuations were necessary if you cannot flush your toilets for > 7 hours!!! Elected officials will be held accountable for this!!!

Diddy said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Wiley said...

Way to go VIPIR.. I've always liked it..

Tracey T said...

How will the conditions be during church time in the morning on Sunday?

Anonymous said...

The Weather Channel just mentioned mandatory evacuations in "Jefferson County Parish" (gotta love it!) Is that all of Jefferson Parish, or just the Grand Isle and surrounding areas?

Bob Breck said...

For all you thinking about church in AM, it all depends on the movement of Lee. We are in a mostly dry slot NOW. That could fill in over night and we'll be back in flooding rains in the AM. I'm planning on being on-air at 7 AM because of that. If I'm the pastor, I wouldn't cancel services, but would realize some folks won't risk coming if it's raining hard again.

Franklin said...

What part of Lee did NHC get wrong?

Anonymous said...

How has the NHC done so far with Lee? Bob you're the man.

Richard said...

Bob, what are the realistic numbers for the wind on the northshore tonight, tomorrow, and tomorrow night? I am hearing 45mph with gusts of 65pm....could that be correct? I've given up making predictions....I suck at it!!

Bob Breck said...

Richard...Newest NHC track places N-Shore closer to whatever is left of Lee. Gusts to 65 seem extreme since we don't have that tonight and the half the center is still over water.