Monday, September 26, 2011

More East Coast Troughs Coming...

Models are indicating a more late October-early November upper air pattern developing with cold air pouring out of Canada heading down towards the Gulf coast. That will bring back the good feel air we enjoyed back in early September, but the "bite" will be bigger with each cold front meaning sweater weather is coming. The cool will come in several surges with the first arriving early Thursday re-inforced with a stronger cold surge late Friday. If the eastern trough is as deep as forecasted, we could see highs stay in the 70s both Sat-Sun with nights in the upper 50s South Shore and upper 40s-low 50s North Shore. A brief warm up returns next week followed by a stronger surge of cold air late next week. That should get the Gulf cool down going so any tropical system that might develop would encounter cooler water temps. There remain no signs of any system getting into the Gulf for the next 10-14 days. Stay tuned!

In the short term, we'll again flirt with record warmth on Tuesday(93 rec. @ MSY) and Wed. possibly into Thursday before cooler air arrives for your weekend. A few showers could develop during daytime heating for the next 2 days.

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