Mid September often sees some of the strongest hurricanes, but this year is really strange. For instance, Worldwide, there are no hurricanes or typhoons tonight. In fact, the 2 Tropical Storms (Maria in ATL and Roke in W. Pac) are very weak. What is going on? 14 named storms yet only 2 reached hurricane force? What is keeping the lid on these storms? The MJO went favorable for about 3 weeks but now the tropics are back asleep. Several models keep trying to develop something down in the Caribbean in the next 7-10 days, but there is no model run to run consistency. No storms coming off of Africa, nothing in the "pipeline", lots of shear in the Gulf and Caribbean and October is getting closer each day. All you tropical Gurus out there, any ideas? Why so few major storms? Water temps were supposed to trigger lots of Cat.3-5 storms.
In the short term, we'll feel like summer again on Wednesday and into Thursday. A weak front will stagger down to us, but the core of the cold will stay well to our north. Most model runs dry out the front as it gets near us. Hopefully we'll see some drier air behind it for Fri-Sunday and that should make for more comfy nights once again.
2 comments:
im surprise no one has answered your question yet.
If Bob don't know,no one knows..
There is your answer.
Post a Comment