Kim Vaughn looked back at the past 6 years to see when the 1st "real Cold Front" moved thru SE LA/MS. She used high temps staying below 70 as her criteria. Generally, that happened after Oct. 20th and before Nov. 1st. So we are not unusual this year as we are about a week away from seeing a strong front arrive next week. Most recent models are backing off on deepening the east coast trough so the cool down should not be drastic. In addition, I see no brutally cold air building up in Canada yet. You will need your sweaters next week, but keep the scarfs and mittens in the drawer for now.
Over the Northern Gulf tonight, west winds are roaring at 80-100 kts. IF anything develops in the southern Gulf or western Caribbean the next 5-10 days, it'll be forced to the east and well to our south. We remain protected plus colder air is coming. Remember, the Fat Lady sang 2 weeks ago.
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