Hurricane intensity forecasting is driving NHC nuts! We have seen how their track forecasting has been getting better and better, however, intensity forecasting remains a crap shoot. Take Rina for example. They rightfully called for her to become a Cat. 3 storm and she did...however, they expected Rina would hit the Yucatan as a Cat. 2 or 3. Today she weakened to a Cat. 1 despite still being over rather water waters. NHC had to issue a special statement this afternoon as they were surprised by the rapid decrease in intensity. Geez, I'm just glad I don't work there as the forecasters are on the hot seat to improve something I'm not sure can be improved very much.
In the short term, Thursday will be our last warm day for awhile. A cold front will sweep thru bringing back that Fall Feeling for Friday into next week. You'll need sweaters and jackets again with some 30s likely across the North Shore by Sunday & Monday mornings. Nothing like the 8-20" of the white stuff that blanketed the Colorado front range only 2 days after highs were 80+ !
No comments:
Post a Comment